Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.013.22safe1.24–3.180.16–1.871.40–5.05safer0.99–3.430.00–2.090.92–5.52
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.713.4510.16safe4.85–8.571.70–5.196.55–13.76safer4.36–9.061.24–5.665.59–14.72
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.409.3627.76safe14.47–22.325.79–12.9220.27–35.24safer13.38–23.414.84–13.8818.22–37.29
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.146.5118.65safe9.20–15.083.83–9.1913.03–24.28safer8.37–15.913.09–9.9311.46–25.84
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.452.087.54safe3.57–7.340.43–3.744.00–11.07safer3.03–7.880.00–4.232.97–12.11
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.3710.42safe4.84–9.261.37–5.376.21–14.64safer4.26–9.840.84–5.915.10–15.75
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.8134.77safe59.02–72.6027.99–41.56safer57.35–74.2726.32–43.23
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction598321919safe531–665254–387785–1052safer513–683237–405749–1088
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction86.5074.77safe82.47–90.5370.44–79.09safer81.18–91.8269.13–80.40
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8212.4023.22safe7.98–13.669.46–15.3517.44–29.00safer7.22–14.418.71–16.1015.93–30.51
Offsides
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.855.17safe1.16–3.481.76–3.942.91–7.42safer0.85–3.781.47–4.232.32–8.01
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.363.75safe0.35–2.441.23–3.491.57–5.93safer0.08–2.710.94–3.781.02–6.49
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.224.466.68safe0.78–3.652.91–6.023.69–9.67safer0.39–4.042.48–6.442.88–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.21 1.24–3.18 0.99–3.43 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 3.22 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.52 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.57 4.36–9.06 | 3.45 1.70–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 10.16 6.55–13.76 5.59–14.72 | 81% |
| Total shots | 18.40 14.47–22.32 13.38–23.41 | 9.36 5.79–12.92 4.84–13.88 | 27.76 20.27–35.24 18.22–37.29 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.14 9.20–15.08 8.37–15.91 | 6.51 3.83–9.19 3.09–9.93 | 18.65 13.03–24.28 11.46–25.84 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.45 3.57–7.34 3.03–7.88 | 2.08 0.43–3.74 0.00–4.23 | 7.54 4.00–11.07 2.97–12.11 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.84–9.26 4.26–9.84 | 3.37 1.37–5.37 0.84–5.91 | 10.42 6.21–14.64 5.10–15.75 | 84% |
| Possession % | 65.81 59.02–72.60 57.35–74.27 | 34.77 27.99–41.56 26.32–43.23 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 598 531–665 513–683 | 321 254–387 237–405 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.50 82.47–90.53 81.18–91.82 | 74.77 70.44–79.09 69.13–80.40 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.22–14.41 | 12.40 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 23.22 17.44–29.00 15.93–30.51 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.85–3.78 | 2.85 1.76–3.94 1.47–4.23 | 5.17 2.91–7.42 2.32–8.01 | 32% 18% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.35–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.04 | 4.46 2.91–6.02 2.48–6.44 | 6.68 3.69–9.67 2.88–10.48 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+