Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.643.10safe0.49–2.430.79–2.501.28–4.92safer0.24–2.680.56–2.730.80–5.40
Shots on target
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.119.87safe2.89–6.623.37–6.856.26–13.47safer2.40–7.112.90–7.325.31–14.43
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1615.3929.56safe10.24–18.0911.83–18.9622.07–37.04safer9.14–19.1810.87–19.9220.02–39.09
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9210.1119.03safe5.98–11.867.43–12.7913.41–24.66safer5.15–12.696.69–13.5311.84–26.22
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.828.29safe2.59–6.352.16–5.474.75–11.82safer2.04–6.891.67–5.963.72–12.86
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.9110.20safe3.08–7.512.91–6.915.99–14.42safer2.51–8.082.38–7.444.88–15.52
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.5050.47safe42.71–56.2943.68–57.25safer41.04–57.9642.01–58.92
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction367378745safe300–434311–444611–879safer282–452294–462576–914
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction75.0876.68safe71.05–79.1172.35–81.00safer69.76–80.4071.05–82.31
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7113.6527.37safe10.88–16.5510.71–16.6021.58–33.15safer10.12–17.319.96–17.3420.08–34.65
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.502.88safe0.22–2.540.41–2.590.63–5.14safer0.00–2.840.12–2.880.04–5.73
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.063.78safe0.67–2.770.93–3.191.60–5.96safer0.40–3.040.64–3.481.04–6.52
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.226.71safe2.05–4.921.66–4.783.71–9.70safer1.66–5.311.24–5.202.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.64 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.73 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 5.11 3.37–6.85 2.90–7.32 | 9.87 6.26–13.47 5.31–14.43 | 39% 48% |
| Total shots | 14.16 10.24–18.09 9.14–19.18 | 15.39 11.83–18.96 10.87–19.92 | 29.56 22.07–37.04 20.02–39.09 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.92 5.98–11.86 5.15–12.69 | 10.11 7.43–12.79 6.69–13.53 | 19.03 13.41–24.66 11.84–26.22 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.82 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 8.29 4.75–11.82 3.72–12.86 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.08 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.44 | 10.20 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.52 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.50 42.71–56.29 41.04–57.96 | 50.47 43.68–57.25 42.01–58.92 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 367 300–434 282–452 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 745 611–879 576–914 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.08 71.05–79.11 69.76–80.40 | 76.68 72.35–81.00 71.05–82.31 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 13.71 10.88–16.55 10.12–17.31 | 13.65 10.71–16.60 9.96–17.34 | 27.37 21.58–33.15 20.08–34.65 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 2.88 0.63–5.14 0.04–5.73 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.04 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.49 2.05–4.92 1.66–5.31 | 3.22 1.66–4.78 1.24–5.20 | 6.71 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.