Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
28%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.132.34safe0.24–2.180.27–1.980.51–4.16safer0.00–2.430.05–2.210.03–4.64
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.768.09safe2.47–6.192.01–5.504.48–11.69safer1.98–6.681.55–5.973.52–12.65
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5911.4624.05safe8.66–16.517.90–15.0316.56–31.54safer7.57–17.606.94–15.9814.51–33.59
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.566.8615.42safe5.62–11.504.18–9.549.79–21.04safer4.79–12.333.44–10.288.23–22.61
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.166.41safe1.38–5.141.50–4.812.88–9.95safer0.83–5.681.01–5.301.84–10.98
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.844.829.66safe2.63–7.062.82–6.825.45–13.88safer2.06–7.632.29–7.354.34–14.98
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.2347.51safe45.44–59.0240.72–54.29safer43.77–60.6939.05–55.97
Passes
66%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction445394839safe378–513327–460706–973safer360–531310–478670–1009
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction81.9980.13safe77.96–86.0275.81–84.45safer76.67–87.3174.50–85.76
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8612.9223.78safe8.03–13.709.98–15.8718.00–29.57safer7.27–14.469.23–16.6216.50–31.07
Offsides
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.211.344.55safe2.05–4.370.25–2.432.30–6.80safer1.75–4.670.00–2.721.71–7.39
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.843.32safe0.43–2.530.72–2.971.15–5.50safer0.16–2.790.42–3.260.59–6.06
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.915.53safe1.18–4.061.35–4.472.54–8.52safer0.80–4.440.93–4.891.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.34 0.51–4.16 0.03–4.64 | 38% 28% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.19 1.98–6.68 | 3.76 2.01–5.50 1.55–5.97 | 8.09 4.48–11.69 3.52–12.65 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 12.59 8.66–16.51 7.57–17.60 | 11.46 7.90–15.03 6.94–15.98 | 24.05 16.56–31.54 14.51–33.59 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.56 5.62–11.50 4.79–12.33 | 6.86 4.18–9.54 3.44–10.28 | 15.42 9.79–21.04 8.23–22.61 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 3.16 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 6.41 2.88–9.95 1.84–10.98 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.63–7.06 2.06–7.63 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.35 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.98 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 52.23 45.44–59.02 43.77–60.69 | 47.51 40.72–54.29 39.05–55.97 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 445 378–513 360–531 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 66% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.99 77.96–86.02 76.67–87.31 | 80.13 75.81–84.45 74.50–85.76 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 10.86 8.03–13.70 7.27–14.46 | 12.92 9.98–15.87 9.23–16.62 | 23.78 18.00–29.57 16.50–31.07 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 3.21 2.05–4.37 1.75–4.67 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 4.55 2.30–6.80 1.71–7.39 | 74% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.84 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.06 0.80–4.44 | 2.91 1.35–4.47 0.93–4.89 | 5.53 2.54–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+