Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.002.483.48safe0.03–1.971.63–3.331.65–5.30safer0.00–2.221.40–3.561.18–5.78
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.696.7810.47safe1.82–5.555.04–8.526.86–14.07safer1.33–6.044.57–8.995.91–15.03
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6518.3428.99safe6.73–14.5814.77–21.9021.50–36.48safer5.64–15.6713.82–22.8619.45–38.53
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2212.4118.63safe3.28–9.179.73–15.0913.01–24.25safer2.45–10.008.99–15.8311.44–25.82
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.114.827.93safe1.22–4.993.17–6.484.40–11.47safer0.68–5.532.68–6.973.36–12.50
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.9410.07safe1.92–6.353.94–7.945.85–14.28safer1.34–6.923.40–8.474.75–15.39
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.4460.45safe33.65–47.2353.67–67.24safer31.98–48.9052.00–68.91
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction387569956safe320–454503–636823–1090safer302–472485–653787–1126
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction81.6489.04safe77.61–85.6784.72–93.36safer76.32–86.9683.41–94.67
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2512.6722.92safe7.42–13.099.72–15.6117.14–28.70safer6.66–13.858.97–16.3615.63–30.21
Offsides
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.584.48safe0.73–3.061.49–3.682.23–6.73safer0.43–3.361.20–3.971.64–7.32
Yellow cards
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.382.93safe0.50–2.600.25–2.510.75–5.11safer0.23–2.870.00–2.800.20–5.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.356.46safe2.67–5.550.79–3.903.46–9.45safer2.29–5.930.36–4.332.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 2.48 1.63–3.33 1.40–3.56 | 3.48 1.65–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 13% 17% 70% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.82–5.55 1.33–6.04 | 6.78 5.04–8.52 4.57–8.99 | 10.47 6.86–14.07 5.91–15.03 | 79% |
| Total shots | 10.65 6.73–14.58 5.64–15.67 | 18.34 14.77–21.90 13.82–22.86 | 28.99 21.50–36.48 19.45–38.53 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 6.22 3.28–9.17 2.45–10.00 | 12.41 9.73–15.09 8.99–15.83 | 18.63 13.01–24.25 11.44–25.82 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 4.82 3.17–6.48 2.68–6.97 | 7.93 4.40–11.47 3.36–12.50 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.13 1.92–6.35 1.34–6.92 | 5.94 3.94–7.94 3.40–8.47 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 40.44 33.65–47.23 31.98–48.90 | 60.45 53.67–67.24 52.00–68.91 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 387 320–454 302–472 | 569 503–636 485–653 | 956 823–1090 787–1126 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.64 77.61–85.67 76.32–86.96 | 89.04 84.72–93.36 83.41–94.67 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 10.25 7.42–13.09 6.66–13.85 | 12.67 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 22.92 17.14–28.70 15.63–30.21 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.06 0.43–3.36 | 2.58 1.49–3.68 1.20–3.97 | 4.48 2.23–6.73 1.64–7.32 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.87 | 1.38 0.25–2.51 0.00–2.80 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.20–5.67 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.11 2.67–5.55 2.29–5.93 | 2.35 0.79–3.90 0.36–4.33 | 6.46 3.46–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+