Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.510.613.11safe1.54–3.470.00–1.461.29–4.94safer1.29–3.730.00–1.690.81–5.42
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.232.289.51safe5.37–9.090.54–4.025.91–13.12safer4.88–9.580.07–4.494.95–14.07
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.367.5827.93safe16.43–24.284.01–11.1420.45–35.42safer15.34–25.373.06–12.1018.40–37.47
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.783.7917.57safe10.84–16.721.11–6.4711.94–23.19safer10.01–17.550.37–7.2110.38–24.76
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction4.801.746.54safe2.92–6.680.08–3.393.00–10.07safer2.37–7.220.00–3.881.97–11.11
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.532.8010.33safe5.32–9.750.80–4.806.11–14.54safer4.75–10.320.26–5.335.01–15.65
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.4935.61safe57.70–71.2828.82–42.39safer56.03–72.9527.15–44.06
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction616337953safe549–683271–403819–1086safer530–701253–421783–1122
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction83.8470.68safe79.81–87.8766.35–75.00safer78.52–89.1665.04–76.31
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7411.3822.11safe7.90–13.578.43–14.3216.33–27.90safer7.14–14.337.68–15.0714.83–29.40
Offsides
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.671.365.03safe2.51–4.830.26–2.452.78–7.28safer2.21–5.130.00–2.742.19–7.87
Yellow cards
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.882.88safe0.00–2.060.75–3.010.70–5.06safer0.00–2.320.46–3.300.15–5.62
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction1.634.676.30safe0.19–3.063.12–6.233.31–9.29safer0.00–3.452.69–6.652.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.51 1.54–3.47 1.29–3.73 | 0.61 0.00–1.46 0.00–1.69 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.23 5.37–9.09 4.88–9.58 | 2.28 0.54–4.02 0.07–4.49 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.36 16.43–24.28 15.34–25.37 | 7.58 4.01–11.14 3.06–12.10 | 27.93 20.45–35.42 18.40–37.47 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.78 10.84–16.72 10.01–17.55 | 3.79 1.11–6.47 0.37–7.21 | 17.57 11.94–23.19 10.38–24.76 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.68 2.37–7.22 | 1.74 0.08–3.39 0.00–3.88 | 6.54 3.00–10.07 1.97–11.11 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.53 5.32–9.75 4.75–10.32 | 2.80 0.80–4.80 0.26–5.33 | 10.33 6.11–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 91% |
| Possession % | 64.49 57.70–71.28 56.03–72.95 | 35.61 28.82–42.39 27.15–44.06 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 616 549–683 530–701 | 337 271–403 253–421 | 953 819–1086 783–1122 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.84 79.81–87.87 78.52–89.16 | 70.68 66.35–75.00 65.04–76.31 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.90–13.57 7.14–14.33 | 11.38 8.43–14.32 7.68–15.07 | 22.11 16.33–27.90 14.83–29.40 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 3.67 2.51–4.83 2.21–5.13 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 5.03 2.78–7.28 2.19–7.87 | 79% |
| Yellow cards | 1.01 0.00–2.06 0.00–2.32 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 2.88 0.70–5.06 0.15–5.62 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.63 0.19–3.06 0.00–3.45 | 4.67 3.12–6.23 2.69–6.65 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.