Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.430.944.37safe2.47–4.400.08–1.792.55–6.20safer2.21–4.650.00–2.022.07–6.68
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.913.3112.22safe7.04–10.771.57–5.058.61–15.82safer6.56–11.261.10–5.527.66–16.78
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction23.539.2032.73safe19.61–27.465.64–12.7625.24–40.22safer18.52–28.554.68–13.7223.19–42.27
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction16.056.4622.51safe13.11–19.003.78–9.1416.89–28.13safer12.28–19.833.04–9.8815.32–29.70
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.202.278.47safe4.32–8.080.62–3.934.94–12.01safer3.78–8.630.13–4.423.90–13.05
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.183.2311.41safe5.97–10.391.23–5.237.20–15.62safer5.39–10.970.70–5.766.09–16.73
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.2031.26safe62.41–75.9924.47–38.04safer60.74–77.6622.80–39.71
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction659278937safe592–727212–345804–1071safer574–745194–362768–1107
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction90.9776.08safe86.94–95.0071.76–80.40safer85.65–96.3070.45–81.71
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4110.8820.29safe6.57–12.257.93–13.8214.50–26.07safer5.82–13.007.18–14.5713.00–27.57
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.833.50safe0.51–2.830.74–2.921.24–5.75safer0.21–3.130.45–3.210.65–6.34
Yellow cards
24%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.662.72safe0.01–2.110.53–2.790.54–4.90safer0.00–2.380.24–3.080.00–5.46
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.120.15safe0.00–0.190.00–0.310.00–0.50safer0.00–0.340.00–0.440.00–0.78
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.225.587.80safe0.78–3.654.03–7.144.81–10.79safer0.39–4.043.60–7.563.99–11.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.43 2.47–4.40 2.21–4.65 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 4.37 2.55–6.20 2.07–6.68 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 8.91 7.04–10.77 6.56–11.26 | 3.31 1.57–5.05 1.10–5.52 | 12.22 8.61–15.82 7.66–16.78 | 93% |
| Total shots | 23.53 19.61–27.46 18.52–28.55 | 9.20 5.64–12.76 4.68–13.72 | 32.73 25.24–40.22 23.19–42.27 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 16.05 13.11–19.00 12.28–19.83 | 6.46 3.78–9.14 3.04–9.88 | 22.51 16.89–28.13 15.32–29.70 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 6.20 4.32–8.08 3.78–8.63 | 2.27 0.62–3.93 0.13–4.42 | 8.47 4.94–12.01 3.90–13.05 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.18 5.97–10.39 5.39–10.97 | 3.23 1.23–5.23 0.70–5.76 | 11.41 7.20–15.62 6.09–16.73 | 91% |
| Possession % | 69.20 62.41–75.99 60.74–77.66 | 31.26 24.47–38.04 22.80–39.71 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 659 592–727 574–745 | 278 212–345 194–362 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.97 86.94–95.00 85.65–96.30 | 76.08 71.76–80.40 70.45–81.71 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 9.41 6.57–12.25 5.82–13.00 | 10.88 7.93–13.82 7.18–14.57 | 20.29 14.50–26.07 13.00–27.57 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.06 0.01–2.11 0.00–2.38 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 2.72 0.54–4.90 0.00–5.46 | 24% 24% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.19 0.00–0.34 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.04 | 5.58 4.03–7.14 3.60–7.56 | 7.80 4.81–10.79 3.99–11.60 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.