Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.132.75safe0.65–2.590.27–1.980.93–4.57safer0.40–2.840.05–2.210.45–5.05
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.779.05safe3.41–7.142.03–5.525.44–12.65safer2.92–7.631.56–5.984.49–13.61
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1311.4227.55safe12.21–20.067.85–14.9820.06–35.03safer11.12–21.156.89–15.9418.01–37.08
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.846.6816.51safe6.89–12.783.99–9.3610.89–22.14safer6.07–13.613.26–10.099.32–23.70
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.427.84safe2.53–6.301.77–5.074.30–11.37safer1.99–6.841.27–5.563.26–12.41
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.369.92safe3.35–7.782.36–6.365.71–14.14safer2.78–8.351.83–6.904.60–15.24
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction53.8046.13safe47.01–60.5939.35–52.92safer45.34–62.2637.68–54.59
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction520453973safe452–587387–520839–1107safer434–605369–537804–1142
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction87.1184.36safe83.08–91.1480.04–88.68safer81.79–92.4378.73–89.99
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7213.1923.91safe7.89–13.5610.24–16.1318.13–29.69safer7.13–14.329.49–16.8816.62–31.20
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.372.87safe0.34–2.660.28–2.470.62–5.13safer0.04–2.960.00–2.750.03–5.72
Yellow cards
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.873.20safe0.28–2.380.74–3.001.03–5.38safer0.02–2.650.45–3.290.47–5.94
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.506.03safe1.10–3.971.95–5.063.04–9.03safer0.71–4.361.52–5.482.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 49% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.28 3.41–7.14 2.92–7.63 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.56–5.98 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.13 12.21–20.06 11.12–21.15 | 11.42 7.85–14.98 6.89–15.94 | 27.55 20.06–35.03 18.01–37.08 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.84 6.89–12.78 6.07–13.61 | 6.68 3.99–9.36 3.26–10.09 | 16.51 10.89–22.14 9.32–23.70 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 3.42 1.77–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.41 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.78 2.78–8.35 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.90 | 9.92 5.71–14.14 4.60–15.24 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 53.80 47.01–60.59 45.34–62.26 | 46.13 39.35–52.92 37.68–54.59 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 520 452–587 434–605 | 453 387–520 369–537 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.11 83.08–91.14 81.79–92.43 | 84.36 80.04–88.68 78.73–89.99 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.89–13.56 7.13–14.32 | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.88 | 23.91 18.13–29.69 16.62–31.20 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 2.87 0.62–5.13 0.03–5.72 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.20 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.50 1.95–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+