Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.380.843.23safe1.42–3.350.00–1.701.41–5.05safer1.17–3.600.00–1.930.93–5.53
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.633.069.69safe4.77–8.491.32–4.806.08–13.29safer4.28–8.980.85–5.275.13–14.25
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.428.3726.79safe14.49–22.344.81–11.9319.30–34.27safer13.40–23.433.85–12.8917.25–36.32
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.644.9516.60safe8.70–14.592.27–7.6310.97–22.22safer7.87–15.411.54–8.379.41–23.79
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.462.006.46safe2.57–6.340.35–3.662.92–10.00safer2.03–6.880.00–4.151.89–11.03
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.682.949.62safe4.46–8.890.94–4.945.41–13.83safer3.89–9.470.41–5.474.30–14.94
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.8333.09safe60.04–73.6226.30–39.87safer58.37–75.2924.63–41.54
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction645318963safe577–712252–384829–1096safer559–730234–402793–1132
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction89.8679.71safe85.83–93.8975.39–84.04safer84.54–95.1874.08–85.35
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2913.0524.34safe8.45–14.1310.11–15.9918.56–30.12safer7.70–14.889.36–16.7417.05–31.63
Offsides
22%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.193.51safe0.15–2.471.10–3.281.25–5.76safer0.00–2.770.81–3.570.66–6.35
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.193.57safe0.34–2.431.06–3.311.39–5.75safer0.07–2.700.77–3.610.83–6.31
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.036.22safe0.75–3.622.48–5.593.23–9.21safer0.36–4.012.05–6.012.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.38 1.42–3.35 1.17–3.60 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.63 4.77–8.49 4.28–8.98 | 3.06 1.32–4.80 0.85–5.27 | 9.69 6.08–13.29 5.13–14.25 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.42 14.49–22.34 13.40–23.43 | 8.37 4.81–11.93 3.85–12.89 | 26.79 19.30–34.27 17.25–36.32 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.87–15.41 | 4.95 2.27–7.63 1.54–8.37 | 16.60 10.97–22.22 9.41–23.79 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.57–6.34 2.03–6.88 | 2.00 0.35–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 6.46 2.92–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.68 4.46–8.89 3.89–9.47 | 2.94 0.94–4.94 0.41–5.47 | 9.62 5.41–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 86% |
| Possession % | 66.83 60.04–73.62 58.37–75.29 | 33.09 26.30–39.87 24.63–41.54 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 645 577–712 559–730 | 318 252–384 234–402 | 963 829–1096 793–1132 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 89.86 85.83–93.89 84.54–95.18 | 79.71 75.39–84.04 74.08–85.35 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.13 7.70–14.88 | 13.05 10.11–15.99 9.36–16.74 | 24.34 18.56–30.12 17.05–31.63 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 22% 20% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.34–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 2.19 1.06–3.31 0.77–3.61 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.31 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 4.03 2.48–5.59 2.05–6.01 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.