Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.520.902.42safe0.55–2.490.05–1.760.60–4.24safer0.30–2.740.00–1.980.12–4.72
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.173.178.34safe3.31–7.031.43–4.914.74–11.95safer2.82–7.520.96–5.383.78–12.90
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.329.3524.67safe11.39–19.245.78–12.9117.18–32.15safer10.30–20.334.82–13.8715.13–34.20
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.116.0016.12safe7.17–13.053.32–8.6810.49–21.74safer6.34–13.882.58–9.428.92–23.31
Blocked shots
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.176.51safe2.46–6.220.52–3.832.98–10.05safer1.91–6.760.03–4.321.94–11.08
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.733.479.20safe3.52–7.951.47–5.474.99–13.41safer2.95–8.520.93–6.003.88–14.52
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.1945.04safe48.40–61.9838.25–51.82safer46.73–63.6536.58–53.49
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction512421934safe445–580355–488800–1067safer427–598337–505764–1103
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction81.4778.16safe77.44–85.5073.84–82.48safer76.15–86.7972.53–83.79
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8313.0127.83safe11.99–17.6710.06–15.9522.05–33.62safer11.24–18.429.31–16.7020.55–35.12
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.613.51safe0.74–3.060.52–2.711.26–5.77safer0.44–3.360.23–2.990.67–6.36
Yellow cards
32%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.384.33safe0.90–3.001.25–3.512.15–6.51safer0.63–3.270.96–3.801.59–7.06
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.253.305.55safe0.81–3.691.75–4.862.56–8.54safer0.43–4.071.32–5.281.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.98 | 2.42 0.60–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 52% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.17 3.31–7.03 2.82–7.52 | 3.17 1.43–4.91 0.96–5.38 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.32 11.39–19.24 10.30–20.33 | 9.35 5.78–12.91 4.82–13.87 | 24.67 17.18–32.15 15.13–34.20 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.11 7.17–13.05 6.34–13.88 | 6.00 3.32–8.68 2.58–9.42 | 16.12 10.49–21.74 8.92–23.31 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.17 0.52–3.83 0.03–4.32 | 6.51 2.98–10.05 1.94–11.08 | 74% 14% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.93–6.00 | 9.20 4.99–13.41 3.88–14.52 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.19 48.40–61.98 46.73–63.65 | 45.04 38.25–51.82 36.58–53.49 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 512 445–580 427–598 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.47 77.44–85.50 76.15–86.79 | 78.16 73.84–82.48 72.53–83.79 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 14.83 11.99–17.67 11.24–18.42 | 13.01 10.06–15.95 9.31–16.70 | 27.83 22.05–33.62 20.55–35.12 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.63–3.27 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.33 2.15–6.51 1.59–7.06 | 32% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.69 0.43–4.07 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.75–9.36 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+