Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.942.88safe0.00–1.911.08–2.791.06–4.70safer0.00–2.160.85–3.020.58–5.18
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.695.329.01safe1.83–5.553.57–7.065.40–12.61safer1.34–6.043.11–7.534.45–13.57
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1914.7127.90safe9.27–17.1111.15–18.2720.41–35.39safer8.17–18.2110.19–19.2318.36–37.44
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.609.9017.50safe4.65–10.547.22–12.5811.87–23.12safer3.82–11.376.48–13.3210.31–24.69
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.867.56safe1.82–5.582.21–5.524.03–11.10safer1.27–6.121.72–6.012.99–12.13
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.525.8510.37safe2.31–6.743.85–7.856.16–14.58safer1.73–7.313.31–8.385.05–15.69
Possession %
25%
72%
homeawayprediction44.2054.87safe37.41–50.9948.08–61.65safer35.74–52.6646.41–63.33
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction431542973safe364–498476–608839–1107safer346–516458–626804–1142
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction81.4881.42safe77.45–85.5177.09–85.74safer76.16–86.8175.78–87.05
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7210.4921.21safe7.88–13.557.54–13.4315.42–26.99safer7.12–14.316.80–14.1813.92–28.49
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.432.87safe0.28–2.610.34–2.520.62–5.13safer0.00–2.910.05–2.810.03–5.72
Yellow cards
41%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.523.17safe0.61–2.700.39–2.651.00–5.35safer0.34–2.970.10–2.940.44–5.91
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.705.97safe1.83–4.711.15–4.262.98–8.96safer1.45–5.090.72–4.682.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 1.94 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 18% 22% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.55 1.34–6.04 | 5.32 3.57–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.45–13.57 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 13.19 9.27–17.11 8.17–18.21 | 14.71 11.15–18.27 10.19–19.23 | 27.90 20.41–35.39 18.36–37.44 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.60 4.65–10.54 3.82–11.37 | 9.90 7.22–12.58 6.48–13.32 | 17.50 11.87–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.86 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.56 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.13 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.31–6.74 1.73–7.31 | 5.85 3.85–7.85 3.31–8.38 | 10.37 6.16–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 44.20 37.41–50.99 35.74–52.66 | 54.87 48.08–61.65 46.41–63.33 | — | 25% 72% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–516 | 542 476–608 458–626 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.48 77.45–85.51 76.16–86.81 | 81.42 77.09–85.74 75.78–87.05 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.55 7.12–14.31 | 10.49 7.54–13.43 6.80–14.18 | 21.21 15.42–26.99 13.92–28.49 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.28–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 2.87 0.62–5.13 0.03–5.72 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.17 1.00–5.35 0.44–5.91 | 41% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.71 1.45–5.09 | 2.70 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.