Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.712.89safe0.22–2.160.85–2.561.07–4.72safer0.00–2.410.62–2.790.59–5.20
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.949.08safe2.27–6.003.20–6.685.47–12.68safer1.78–6.492.73–7.154.52–13.64
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9714.5127.48safe9.05–16.9010.95–18.0720.00–34.97safer7.96–17.999.99–19.0317.95–37.02
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.199.7717.96safe5.25–11.137.09–12.4512.34–23.59safer4.42–11.966.36–13.1910.77–25.15
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.313.788.09safe2.43–6.202.12–5.434.55–11.63safer1.89–6.741.63–5.923.52–12.66
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.9610.30safe3.13–7.562.96–6.966.09–14.51safer2.56–8.132.42–7.494.98–15.62
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.8752.61safe41.08–54.6745.82–59.39safer39.42–56.3344.15–61.06
Passes
36%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction368410778safe301–436344–476645–912safer283–454326–494609–948
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction76.6178.09safe72.58–80.6473.76–82.41safer71.29–81.9372.46–83.72
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9613.5125.47safe9.12–14.7910.56–16.4519.68–31.25safer8.36–15.559.82–17.2018.18–32.75
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.403.69safe1.12–3.440.31–2.501.43–5.94safer0.82–3.740.02–2.790.84–6.53
Yellow cards
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.163.86safe0.65–2.751.04–3.291.69–6.04safer0.38–3.010.74–3.581.13–6.60
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
41%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.066.06safe1.56–4.431.51–4.623.07–9.05safer1.17–4.821.08–5.052.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.71 0.85–2.56 0.62–2.79 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 27% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 4.94 3.20–6.68 2.73–7.15 | 9.08 5.47–12.68 4.52–13.64 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.97 9.05–16.90 7.96–17.99 | 14.51 10.95–18.07 9.99–19.03 | 27.48 20.00–34.97 17.95–37.02 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.19 5.25–11.13 4.42–11.96 | 9.77 7.09–12.45 6.36–13.19 | 17.96 12.34–23.59 10.77–25.15 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 3.78 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 8.09 4.55–11.63 3.52–12.66 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.42–7.49 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 47.87 41.08–54.67 39.42–56.33 | 52.61 45.82–59.39 44.15–61.06 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 368 301–436 283–454 | 410 344–476 326–494 | 778 645–912 609–948 | 36% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.61 72.58–80.64 71.29–81.93 | 78.09 73.76–82.41 72.46–83.72 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.12–14.79 8.36–15.55 | 13.51 10.56–16.45 9.82–17.20 | 25.47 19.68–31.25 18.18–32.75 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.69 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.53 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 2.16 1.04–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.86 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.05 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 41% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+