Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
25%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction0.981.572.54safe0.01–1.940.71–2.420.72–4.37safer0.00–2.200.48–2.650.24–4.85
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.844.818.65safe1.97–5.703.07–6.555.04–12.25safer1.48–6.192.60–7.024.08–13.21
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4913.4224.92safe7.57–15.429.86–16.9917.43–32.40safer6.48–16.518.90–17.9515.38–34.46
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction7.458.7616.22safe4.51–10.406.08–11.4410.59–21.84safer3.68–11.235.34–12.189.03–23.41
Blocked shots
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.356.56safe1.33–5.091.70–5.003.02–10.09safer0.79–5.641.20–5.491.99–11.13
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.655.079.72safe2.44–6.863.07–7.075.51–13.93safer1.86–7.442.53–7.604.40–15.04
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.6556.73safe36.86–50.4449.95–63.52safer35.19–52.1148.28–65.19
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction385505890safe318–452438–571756–1024safer300–471421–589721–1059
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction79.1885.84safe75.15–83.2181.51–90.16safer73.86–84.5080.20–91.47
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6511.6325.28safe10.82–16.498.68–14.5719.50–31.06safer10.06–17.257.93–15.3217.99–32.57
Offsides
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.403.73safe0.17–2.491.31–3.491.47–5.98safer0.00–2.791.02–3.780.88–6.57
Yellow cards
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.713.84safe1.08–3.180.58–2.841.66–6.02safer0.82–3.450.29–3.131.11–6.58
Red cards
13%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.24safe0.00–0.310.00–0.270.00–0.58safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.87
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.735.72safe1.55–4.421.17–4.282.72–8.71safer1.16–4.810.75–4.711.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.94 0.00–2.20 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.54 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 24% 25% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.97–5.70 1.48–6.19 | 4.81 3.07–6.55 2.60–7.02 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.21 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.49 7.57–15.42 6.48–16.51 | 13.42 9.86–16.99 8.90–17.95 | 24.92 17.43–32.40 15.38–34.46 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.40 3.68–11.23 | 8.76 6.08–11.44 5.34–12.18 | 16.22 10.59–21.84 9.03–23.41 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.79–5.64 | 3.35 1.70–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 6.56 3.02–10.09 1.99–11.13 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Corners | 4.65 2.44–6.86 1.86–7.44 | 5.07 3.07–7.07 2.53–7.60 | 9.72 5.51–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 43.65 36.86–50.44 35.19–52.11 | 56.73 49.95–63.52 48.28–65.19 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 385 318–452 300–471 | 505 438–571 421–589 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.18 75.15–83.21 73.86–84.50 | 85.84 81.51–90.16 80.20–91.47 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.82–16.49 10.06–17.25 | 11.63 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 25.28 19.50–31.06 17.99–32.57 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 2.40 1.31–3.49 1.02–3.78 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 13% 80% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 2.73 1.17–4.28 0.75–4.71 | 5.72 2.72–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+