Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.793.07safe0.31–2.250.94–2.651.25–4.89safer0.06–2.500.71–2.880.77–5.37
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.475.5510.02safe2.61–6.343.80–7.296.41–13.62safer2.12–6.833.34–7.755.46–14.58
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0614.4328.49safe10.14–17.9910.86–17.9921.00–35.98safer9.05–19.089.91–18.9518.95–38.03
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.259.1817.43safe5.31–11.196.50–11.8611.81–23.06safer4.48–12.025.76–12.6010.24–24.62
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.704.338.03safe1.82–5.582.68–5.984.49–11.56safer1.27–6.122.18–6.473.46–12.60
Corners
33%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.7610.57safe2.59–7.023.76–7.766.35–14.78safer2.02–7.593.23–8.305.24–15.89
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.6053.76safe39.81–53.3946.97–60.54safer38.14–55.0645.30–62.21
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction448515962safe381–515448–581829–1096safer362–533431–599793–1132
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction84.9887.50safe80.95–89.0183.17–91.82safer79.66–90.3081.86–93.13
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3512.2623.61safe8.51–14.199.32–15.2117.83–29.40safer7.76–14.948.57–15.9616.33–30.90
Offsides
64%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.153.48safe1.17–3.490.06–2.251.23–5.73safer0.86–3.790.00–2.540.64–6.32
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.663.36safe0.65–2.750.53–2.791.18–5.54safer0.39–3.020.24–3.080.63–6.10
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
49%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.206.87safe2.23–5.101.64–4.763.88–9.86safer1.84–5.491.22–5.183.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.79 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.88 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 5.55 3.80–7.29 3.34–7.75 | 10.02 6.41–13.62 5.46–14.58 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 14.06 10.14–17.99 9.05–19.08 | 14.43 10.86–17.99 9.91–18.95 | 28.49 21.00–35.98 18.95–38.03 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.25 5.31–11.19 4.48–12.02 | 9.18 6.50–11.86 5.76–12.60 | 17.43 11.81–23.06 10.24–24.62 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 4.33 2.68–5.98 2.18–6.47 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.46–12.60 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.30 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.89 | 33% 56% |
| Possession % | 46.60 39.81–53.39 38.14–55.06 | 53.76 46.97–60.54 45.30–62.21 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 362–533 | 515 448–581 431–599 | 962 829–1096 793–1132 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.98 80.95–89.01 79.66–90.30 | 87.50 83.17–91.82 81.86–93.13 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.51–14.19 7.76–14.94 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 23.61 17.83–29.40 16.33–30.90 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.33 1.17–3.49 0.86–3.79 | 1.15 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 3.48 1.23–5.73 0.64–6.32 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.23–5.10 1.84–5.49 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.87 3.88–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 49% 15% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+