Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.032.98safe0.00–1.921.18–2.891.16–4.81safer0.00–2.170.95–3.120.68–5.29
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.435.779.20safe1.57–5.304.03–7.515.60–12.81safer1.08–5.783.56–7.984.64–13.76
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0916.3626.46safe6.17–14.0212.80–19.9318.97–33.94safer5.08–15.1111.84–20.8916.92–35.99
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6311.0716.70safe2.69–8.578.39–13.7511.07–22.32safer1.86–9.407.65–14.499.51–23.89
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.874.086.95safe0.99–4.752.43–5.733.42–10.49safer0.45–5.301.94–6.232.38–11.52
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.685.339.02safe1.47–5.903.33–7.334.80–13.23safer0.90–6.472.80–7.873.70–14.34
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.5451.76safe41.75–55.3344.97–58.54safer40.08–57.0043.30–60.21
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction440476915safe372–507409–542782–1049safer354–525392–560746–1085
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction79.1479.97safe75.11–83.1775.64–84.29safer73.81–84.4674.33–85.60
Fouls
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2914.8325.13safe7.46–13.1311.89–17.7819.35–30.91safer6.70–13.8911.14–18.5317.84–32.41
Offsides
19%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.513.87safe0.20–2.521.42–3.611.62–6.13safer0.00–2.821.13–3.891.03–6.72
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.823.59safe0.73–2.820.69–2.951.41–5.77safer0.46–3.090.40–3.240.86–6.33
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.406.22safe2.38–5.250.84–3.963.23–9.21safer2.00–5.640.42–4.382.42–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.03 1.18–2.89 0.95–3.12 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.43 1.57–5.30 1.08–5.78 | 5.77 4.03–7.51 3.56–7.98 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 10.09 6.17–14.02 5.08–15.11 | 16.36 12.80–19.93 11.84–20.89 | 26.46 18.97–33.94 16.92–35.99 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 5.63 2.69–8.57 1.86–9.40 | 11.07 8.39–13.75 7.65–14.49 | 16.70 11.07–22.32 9.51–23.89 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.75 0.45–5.30 | 4.08 2.43–5.73 1.94–6.23 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 3.68 1.47–5.90 0.90–6.47 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.80–7.87 | 9.02 4.80–13.23 3.70–14.34 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 48.54 41.75–55.33 40.08–57.00 | 51.76 44.97–58.54 43.30–60.21 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 440 372–507 354–525 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.14 75.11–83.17 73.81–84.46 | 79.97 75.64–84.29 74.33–85.60 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.46–13.13 6.70–13.89 | 14.83 11.89–17.78 11.14–18.53 | 25.13 19.35–30.91 17.84–32.41 | 16% 79% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 2.51 1.42–3.61 1.13–3.89 | 3.87 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.73–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.82 2.38–5.25 2.00–5.64 | 2.40 0.84–3.96 0.42–4.38 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.02 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.