Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.132.60safe0.50–2.440.27–1.980.78–4.42safer0.25–2.690.04–2.210.30–4.90
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.908.62safe2.85–6.582.16–5.655.01–12.22safer2.36–7.071.70–6.114.06–13.18
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7211.6125.33safe9.80–17.658.05–15.1717.84–32.82safer8.70–18.747.09–16.1315.79–34.87
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.417.4215.82safe5.46–11.354.74–10.1010.20–21.45safer4.63–12.184.00–10.848.63–23.01
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.826.72safe2.02–5.781.17–4.473.18–10.25safer1.47–6.320.67–4.962.15–11.29
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.319.35safe2.83–7.262.31–6.315.14–13.57safer2.26–7.831.77–6.844.03–14.67
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.8546.24safe47.06–60.6439.45–53.02safer45.39–62.3137.78–54.69
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction483406889safe416–550340–473756–1023safer398–568322–490720–1059
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction83.8081.46safe79.77–87.8377.14–85.78safer78.48–89.1275.83–87.09
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6011.6924.29safe9.76–15.448.74–14.6318.50–30.07safer9.00–16.197.99–15.3817.00–31.57
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.073.92safe0.69–3.020.97–3.161.67–6.18safer0.39–3.320.69–3.451.08–6.77
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.933.78safe0.81–2.900.80–3.051.60–5.96safer0.54–3.170.50–3.351.04–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.336.16safe1.40–4.271.77–4.883.17–9.15safer1.01–4.661.34–5.312.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 3.90 2.16–5.65 1.70–6.11 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.72 9.80–17.65 8.70–18.74 | 11.61 8.05–15.17 7.09–16.13 | 25.33 17.84–32.82 15.79–34.87 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.41 5.46–11.35 4.63–12.18 | 7.42 4.74–10.10 4.00–10.84 | 15.82 10.20–21.45 8.63–23.01 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.78 1.47–6.32 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 6.72 3.18–10.25 2.15–11.29 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.83–7.26 2.26–7.83 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.77–6.84 | 9.35 5.14–13.57 4.03–14.67 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 53.85 47.06–60.64 45.39–62.31 | 46.24 39.45–53.02 37.78–54.69 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 398–568 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.80 79.77–87.83 78.48–89.12 | 81.46 77.14–85.78 75.83–87.09 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.76–15.44 9.00–16.19 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 24.29 18.50–30.07 17.00–31.57 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.92 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.77 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.93 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.35 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.33 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.31 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.