Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.970.962.93safe1.00–2.940.11–1.821.11–4.75safer0.75–3.190.00–2.050.63–5.23
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.653.238.88safe3.79–7.511.49–4.985.28–12.49safer3.30–8.001.02–5.444.32–13.44
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.539.3724.90safe11.60–19.455.81–12.9317.41–32.38safer10.51–20.544.85–13.8915.36–34.43
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.545.5817.11safe8.59–14.482.90–8.2611.49–22.74safer7.76–15.312.16–9.009.92–24.30
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.366.35safe2.10–5.860.71–4.022.81–9.88safer1.56–6.410.22–4.511.77–10.92
Corners
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.258.77safe3.30–7.731.25–5.254.56–12.98safer2.73–8.310.72–5.783.45–14.09
Possession %
72%
25%
homeawayprediction55.3144.64safe48.52–62.1037.86–51.43safer46.85–63.7736.19–53.10
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction493402895safe426–561336–469762–1029safer408–579318–486726–1065
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction86.6482.62safe82.61–90.6778.30–86.95safer81.32–91.9676.99–88.26
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1612.7925.95safe10.32–16.009.85–15.7320.17–31.73safer9.57–16.759.10–16.4818.66–33.24
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.493.64safe0.99–3.310.39–2.581.38–5.89safer0.69–3.610.11–2.870.79–6.48
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.293.95safe0.61–2.711.16–3.421.78–6.13safer0.35–2.980.87–3.711.22–6.69
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.153.805.94safe0.71–3.582.24–5.352.95–8.93safer0.32–3.971.81–5.782.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.00–2.94 0.75–3.19 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.65 3.79–7.51 3.30–8.00 | 3.23 1.49–4.98 1.02–5.44 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.53 11.60–19.45 10.51–20.54 | 9.37 5.81–12.93 4.85–13.89 | 24.90 17.41–32.38 15.36–34.43 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.54 8.59–14.48 7.76–15.31 | 5.58 2.90–8.26 2.16–9.00 | 17.11 11.49–22.74 9.92–24.30 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.56–6.41 | 2.36 0.71–4.02 0.22–4.51 | 6.35 2.81–9.88 1.77–10.92 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.31 | 3.25 1.25–5.25 0.72–5.78 | 8.77 4.56–12.98 3.45–14.09 | 72% 17% |
| Possession % | 55.31 48.52–62.10 46.85–63.77 | 44.64 37.86–51.43 36.19–53.10 | — | 72% 25% |
| Passes | 493 426–561 408–579 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.64 82.61–90.67 81.32–91.96 | 82.62 78.30–86.95 76.99–88.26 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 13.16 10.32–16.00 9.57–16.75 | 12.79 9.85–15.73 9.10–16.48 | 25.95 20.17–31.73 18.66–33.24 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.49 0.39–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.95 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 3.80 2.24–5.35 1.81–5.78 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.75 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.