Serie A·Regular Season - 31·
Serie A·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.482.55safe0.10–2.040.63–2.340.73–4.37safer0.00–2.290.40–2.560.25–4.85
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.278.05safe1.92–5.642.53–6.024.45–11.66safer1.43–6.132.07–6.483.49–12.61
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5512.6524.20safe7.63–15.489.09–16.2116.72–31.69safer6.54–16.578.13–17.1714.67–33.74
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.037.7814.81safe4.08–9.975.10–10.469.18–20.43safer3.25–10.804.36–11.207.62–22.00
Blocked shots
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.376.21safe0.96–4.721.72–5.022.68–9.75safer0.42–5.271.22–5.511.64–10.78
Corners
37%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.094.588.67safe1.88–6.302.58–6.584.45–12.88safer1.30–6.882.04–7.113.35–13.99
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.5461.57safe31.75–45.3354.78–68.35safer30.08–47.0053.11–70.02
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction351563915safe284–419497–630781–1048safer266–437479–647745–1084
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction76.3787.63safe72.34–80.4083.30–91.95safer71.05–81.6982.00–93.26
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7410.5023.24safe9.90–15.587.55–13.4417.46–29.02safer9.15–16.336.81–14.1915.95–30.53
Offsides
61%
19%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.333.75safe1.25–3.570.24–2.431.49–6.00safer0.95–3.870.00–2.720.90–6.59
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.944.12safe1.12–3.220.82–3.071.94–6.30safer0.86–3.490.52–3.361.38–6.85
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
41%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.745.49safe1.31–4.181.18–4.292.49–8.48safer0.92–4.570.76–4.721.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.56 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.78 1.92–5.64 1.43–6.13 | 4.27 2.53–6.02 2.07–6.48 | 8.05 4.45–11.66 3.49–12.61 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 11.55 7.63–15.48 6.54–16.57 | 12.65 9.09–16.21 8.13–17.17 | 24.20 16.72–31.69 14.67–33.74 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.03 4.08–9.97 3.25–10.80 | 7.78 5.10–10.46 4.36–11.20 | 14.81 9.18–20.43 7.62–22.00 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 2.84 0.96–4.72 0.42–5.27 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 6.21 2.68–9.75 1.64–10.78 | 34% 16% 50% |
| Corners | 4.09 1.88–6.30 1.30–6.88 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.04–7.11 | 8.67 4.45–12.88 3.35–13.99 | 37% 14% 50% |
| Possession % | 38.54 31.75–45.33 30.08–47.00 | 61.57 54.78–68.35 53.11–70.02 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 351 284–419 266–437 | 563 497–630 479–647 | 915 781–1048 745–1084 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.37 72.34–80.40 71.05–81.69 | 87.63 83.30–91.95 82.00–93.26 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.74 9.90–15.58 9.15–16.33 | 10.50 7.55–13.44 6.81–14.19 | 23.24 17.46–29.02 15.95–30.53 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.87 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 61% 19% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 1.94 0.82–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.38–6.85 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 2.74 1.18–4.29 0.76–4.72 | 5.49 2.49–8.48 1.68–9.29 | 41% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.