Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.102.69safe0.62–2.560.24–1.950.87–4.51safer0.37–2.810.02–2.180.39–4.99
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.919.02safe3.25–6.982.16–5.655.42–12.63safer2.76–7.471.70–6.124.46–13.58
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5910.7126.31safe11.67–19.527.15–14.2818.82–33.80safer10.58–20.616.19–15.2416.77–35.85
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.766.1915.95safe6.82–12.703.51–8.8710.32–21.57safer5.99–13.532.77–9.618.76–23.14
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.576.58safe2.13–5.900.92–4.223.05–10.12safer1.59–6.440.42–4.712.01–11.15
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.069.62safe3.34–7.772.06–6.065.41–13.83safer2.77–8.341.53–6.604.30–14.94
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.0049.06safe44.21–57.7942.27–55.84safer42.54–59.4640.60–57.51
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction475452927safe407–542386–519793–1061safer389–560368–536758–1096
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction87.0684.75safe83.03–91.0980.42–89.07safer81.74–92.3879.11–90.38
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0412.2625.31safe10.21–15.889.32–15.2119.52–31.09safer9.45–16.648.57–15.9618.02–32.59
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.393.54safe0.99–3.310.30–2.481.29–5.80safer0.69–3.610.01–2.770.70–6.39
Yellow cards
27%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.193.75safe0.50–2.601.07–3.321.57–5.93safer0.24–2.870.77–3.611.01–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.365.93safe1.13–4.001.81–4.922.94–8.92safer0.74–4.391.38–5.352.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.25–6.98 2.76–7.47 | 3.91 2.16–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 9.02 5.42–12.63 4.46–13.58 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.59 11.67–19.52 10.58–20.61 | 10.71 7.15–14.28 6.19–15.24 | 26.31 18.82–33.80 16.77–35.85 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.82–12.70 5.99–13.53 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 15.95 10.32–21.57 8.76–23.14 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 2.57 0.92–4.22 0.42–4.71 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.15 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.60 | 9.62 5.41–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 51.00 44.21–57.79 42.54–59.46 | 49.06 42.27–55.84 40.60–57.51 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 475 407–542 389–560 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.06 83.03–91.09 81.74–92.38 | 84.75 80.42–89.07 79.11–90.38 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.21–15.88 9.45–16.64 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 25.31 19.52–31.09 18.02–32.59 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.19 1.07–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.01–6.48 | 27% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.36 1.81–4.92 1.38–5.35 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.13–9.74 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.