Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.133.15safe1.05–2.990.28–1.981.33–4.97safer0.80–3.240.05–2.210.85–5.45
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.134.0210.16safe4.27–7.992.28–5.776.55–13.76safer3.78–8.481.82–6.235.59–14.72
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9711.4928.47safe13.05–20.907.93–15.0620.98–35.96safer11.96–21.996.97–16.0218.93–38.01
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.787.1418.93safe8.84–14.724.46–9.8313.30–24.55safer8.01–15.553.73–10.5611.74–26.12
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.773.268.03safe2.89–6.651.61–4.924.50–11.57safer2.34–7.191.12–5.413.46–12.60
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.643.6810.32safe4.42–8.851.68–5.686.11–14.53safer3.85–9.421.15–6.225.00–15.64
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.4844.60safe47.69–61.2737.81–51.38safer46.02–62.9436.14–53.05
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction549446994safe482–616379–512861–1128safer464–634362–529825–1164
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction82.5482.66safe78.51–86.5778.34–86.98safer77.22–87.8677.03–88.29
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction11.419.1320.53safe8.57–14.246.18–12.0714.75–26.32safer7.81–15.005.44–12.8213.25–27.82
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.302.91safe0.46–2.780.20–2.390.66–5.17safer0.16–3.080.00–2.680.07–5.76
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.863.33safe0.42–2.520.73–2.991.16–5.51safer0.16–2.790.44–3.280.60–6.07
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.066.61safe1.11–3.992.50–5.623.62–9.60safer0.73–4.372.08–6.042.81–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 1.13 0.28–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.13 4.27–7.99 3.78–8.48 | 4.02 2.28–5.77 1.82–6.23 | 10.16 6.55–13.76 5.59–14.72 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.97 13.05–20.90 11.96–21.99 | 11.49 7.93–15.06 6.97–16.02 | 28.47 20.98–35.96 18.93–38.01 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.78 8.84–14.72 8.01–15.55 | 7.14 4.46–9.83 3.73–10.56 | 18.93 13.30–24.55 11.74–26.12 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.77 2.89–6.65 2.34–7.19 | 3.26 1.61–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.64 4.42–8.85 3.85–9.42 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.22 | 10.32 6.11–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 54.48 47.69–61.27 46.02–62.94 | 44.60 37.81–51.38 36.14–53.05 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 549 482–616 464–634 | 446 379–512 362–529 | 994 861–1128 825–1164 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.54 78.51–86.57 77.22–87.86 | 82.66 78.34–86.98 77.03–88.29 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.24 7.81–15.00 | 9.13 6.18–12.07 5.44–12.82 | 20.53 14.75–26.32 13.25–27.82 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.91 0.66–5.17 0.07–5.76 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.33 1.16–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.99 0.73–4.37 | 4.06 2.50–5.62 2.08–6.04 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.41 | 21% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.