Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.152.75safe0.64–2.580.29–2.000.93–4.58safer0.39–2.830.06–2.230.45–5.06
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.858.57safe2.86–6.592.10–5.594.96–12.18safer2.37–7.081.64–6.054.01–13.13
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6211.7326.35safe10.69–18.548.16–15.2918.86–33.83safer9.60–19.637.21–16.2516.81–35.88
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.527.4516.97safe6.58–12.464.77–10.1311.35–22.59safer5.75–13.294.03–10.879.78–24.16
Blocked shots
56%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.077.03safe2.08–5.841.41–4.723.49–10.56safer1.53–6.390.92–5.212.45–11.60
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.489.77safe3.08–7.512.48–6.485.56–13.99safer2.51–8.081.94–7.014.45–15.09
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.1645.49safe47.37–60.9538.70–52.27safer45.70–62.6237.03–53.94
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction459383842safe392–526316–449708–976safer374–545299–467672–1011
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction82.0079.80safe77.97–86.0375.48–84.12safer76.68–87.3274.17–85.43
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3512.4725.83safe10.52–16.199.53–15.4220.04–31.61safer9.76–16.958.78–16.1718.54–33.11
Offsides
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.903.15safe0.08–2.400.81–3.000.89–5.40safer0.00–2.710.52–3.290.31–5.99
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.843.62safe0.73–2.830.71–2.971.45–5.80safer0.47–3.100.42–3.260.89–6.36
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.236.16safe1.49–4.361.68–4.793.17–9.15safer1.10–4.751.25–5.212.36–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 3.85 2.10–5.59 1.64–6.05 | 8.57 4.96–12.18 4.01–13.13 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.62 10.69–18.54 9.60–19.63 | 11.73 8.16–15.29 7.21–16.25 | 26.35 18.86–33.83 16.81–35.88 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.52 6.58–12.46 5.75–13.29 | 7.45 4.77–10.13 4.03–10.87 | 16.97 11.35–22.59 9.78–24.16 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.53–6.39 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.03 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.60 | 56% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.08 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.94–7.01 | 9.77 5.56–13.99 4.45–15.09 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 54.16 47.37–60.95 45.70–62.62 | 45.49 38.70–52.27 37.03–53.94 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 374–545 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 842 708–976 672–1011 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.00 77.97–86.03 76.68–87.32 | 79.80 75.48–84.12 74.17–85.43 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.52–16.19 9.76–16.95 | 12.47 9.53–15.42 8.78–16.17 | 25.83 20.04–31.61 18.54–33.11 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.24 0.08–2.40 0.00–2.71 | 1.90 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.29 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.62 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.36–9.96 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.