Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.172.80safe0.66–2.600.32–2.030.98–4.63safer0.41–2.850.09–2.260.50–5.11
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.448.88safe3.58–7.301.69–5.185.27–12.48safer3.09–7.791.23–5.654.32–13.44
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.039.6726.70safe13.11–20.966.11–13.2319.21–34.19safer12.02–22.055.15–14.1917.16–36.24
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.376.7217.08safe7.42–13.314.03–9.4011.46–22.71safer6.60–14.143.30–10.139.89–24.27
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.582.697.27safe2.70–6.471.03–4.343.74–10.81safer2.16–7.010.54–4.832.70–11.84
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.653.619.26safe3.43–7.861.61–5.615.04–13.47safer2.86–8.431.08–6.143.94–14.58
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.4742.33safe50.68–64.2635.54–49.11safer49.01–65.9333.87–50.78
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction555419974safe487–622353–486840–1108safer469–640335–503805–1143
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction87.1079.01safe83.07–91.1374.68–83.33safer81.78–92.4273.38–84.64
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6211.7821.39safe6.78–12.458.83–14.7215.61–27.18safer6.02–13.218.08–15.4714.11–28.68
Offsides
20%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.473.83safe0.20–2.521.37–3.561.57–6.08safer0.00–2.821.09–3.850.98–6.67
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.093.69safe0.54–2.640.96–3.221.51–5.86safer0.28–2.910.67–3.510.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.715.95safe0.80–3.682.15–5.272.96–8.94safer0.42–4.061.73–5.692.15–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.30 3.09–7.79 | 3.44 1.69–5.18 1.23–5.65 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.32–13.44 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.03 13.11–20.96 12.02–22.05 | 9.67 6.11–13.23 5.15–14.19 | 26.70 19.21–34.19 17.16–36.24 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.37 7.42–13.31 6.60–14.14 | 6.72 4.03–9.40 3.30–10.13 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 2.69 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 7.27 3.74–10.81 2.70–11.84 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.08–6.14 | 9.26 5.04–13.47 3.94–14.58 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 57.47 50.68–64.26 49.01–65.93 | 42.33 35.54–49.11 33.87–50.78 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 555 487–622 469–640 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 974 840–1108 805–1143 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.10 83.07–91.13 81.78–92.42 | 79.01 74.68–83.33 73.38–84.64 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 9.62 6.78–12.45 6.02–13.21 | 11.78 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.47 | 21.39 15.61–27.18 14.11–28.68 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 2.47 1.37–3.56 1.09–3.85 | 3.83 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.69 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.80–3.68 0.42–4.06 | 3.71 2.15–5.27 1.73–5.69 | 5.95 2.96–8.94 2.15–9.75 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.