Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.030.802.83safe1.06–3.000.00–1.651.01–4.65safer0.81–3.250.00–1.880.53–5.13
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.412.939.34safe4.55–8.271.19–4.685.74–12.95safer4.06–8.760.73–5.144.78–13.90
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.018.8025.81safe13.09–20.945.23–12.3618.32–33.30safer12.00–22.034.27–13.3216.27–35.35
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.835.0616.89safe8.89–14.772.38–7.7411.27–22.52safer8.06–15.601.64–8.489.70–24.08
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.196.73safe2.66–6.420.54–3.843.19–10.26safer2.11–6.960.05–4.342.16–11.30
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.069.35safe4.08–8.501.06–5.065.14–13.56safer3.50–9.080.53–5.594.03–14.67
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.6144.73safe49.82–63.4037.94–51.51safer48.15–65.0736.27–53.19
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction536416952safe469–603349–482818–1086safer451–622332–500782–1121
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction82.1278.40safe78.09–86.1574.08–82.72safer76.80–87.4472.77–84.03
Fouls
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4811.6526.12safe11.64–17.328.70–14.5920.34–31.91safer10.88–18.077.95–15.3418.84–33.41
Offsides
52%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.403.41safe0.85–3.170.31–2.491.15–5.66safer0.54–3.470.02–2.780.56–6.25
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.953.91safe0.91–3.010.82–3.081.73–6.09safer0.64–3.270.53–3.371.18–6.65
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.835.82safe0.55–3.422.28–5.392.83–8.81safer0.16–3.811.85–5.812.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.41 4.55–8.27 4.06–8.76 | 2.93 1.19–4.68 0.73–5.14 | 9.34 5.74–12.95 4.78–13.90 | 84% |
| Total shots | 17.01 13.09–20.94 12.00–22.03 | 8.80 5.23–12.36 4.27–13.32 | 25.81 18.32–33.30 16.27–35.35 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.83 8.89–14.77 8.06–15.60 | 5.06 2.38–7.74 1.64–8.48 | 16.89 11.27–22.52 9.70–24.08 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.42 2.11–6.96 | 2.19 0.54–3.84 0.05–4.34 | 6.73 3.19–10.26 2.16–11.30 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.50 3.50–9.08 | 3.06 1.06–5.06 0.53–5.59 | 9.35 5.14–13.56 4.03–14.67 | 82% |
| Possession % | 56.61 49.82–63.40 48.15–65.07 | 44.73 37.94–51.51 36.27–53.19 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 536 469–603 451–622 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 952 818–1086 782–1121 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.12 78.09–86.15 76.80–87.44 | 78.40 74.08–82.72 72.77–84.03 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 14.48 11.64–17.32 10.88–18.07 | 11.65 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.34 | 26.12 20.34–31.91 18.84–33.41 | 68% 26% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 52% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.55–3.42 0.16–3.81 | 3.83 2.28–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.