Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.193.01safe0.85–2.790.34–2.051.19–4.84safer0.60–3.040.11–2.280.71–5.32
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.543.919.46safe3.68–7.412.17–5.665.85–13.06safer3.19–7.901.70–6.124.90–14.02
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5410.4926.04safe11.62–19.476.93–14.0618.55–33.52safer10.53–20.565.97–15.0116.50–35.57
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.427.4117.83safe7.48–13.374.73–10.0912.21–23.46safer6.65–14.193.99–10.8310.64–25.02
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.497.03safe2.66–6.430.84–4.143.50–10.57safer2.12–6.970.34–4.642.46–11.60
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.9710.04safe3.85–8.281.97–5.975.82–14.25safer3.28–8.851.44–6.504.72–15.36
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.6939.28safe54.90–68.4932.49–46.06safer53.23–70.1530.82–47.73
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction562373935safe495–629307–440801–1069safer477–647289–457766–1104
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction88.5180.73safe84.48–92.5376.41–85.06safer83.18–93.8375.10–86.37
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2812.3422.63safe7.45–13.129.40–15.2916.84–28.41safer6.69–13.888.65–16.0415.34–29.91
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.753.85safe0.94–3.260.66–2.841.59–6.10safer0.64–3.560.37–3.131.00–6.69
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.043.33safe0.24–2.330.91–3.171.15–5.51safer0.00–2.600.62–3.460.59–6.06
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.414.096.50safe0.98–3.852.54–5.653.51–9.49safer0.59–4.232.11–6.072.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.41 3.19–7.90 | 3.91 2.17–5.66 1.70–6.12 | 9.46 5.85–13.06 4.90–14.02 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.54 11.62–19.47 10.53–20.56 | 10.49 6.93–14.06 5.97–15.01 | 26.04 18.55–33.52 16.50–35.57 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.42 7.48–13.37 6.65–14.19 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 17.83 12.21–23.46 10.64–25.02 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.49 0.84–4.14 0.34–4.64 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.85–8.28 3.28–8.85 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.44–6.50 | 10.04 5.82–14.25 4.72–15.36 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 61.69 54.90–68.49 53.23–70.15 | 39.28 32.49–46.06 30.82–47.73 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 562 495–629 477–647 | 373 307–440 289–457 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.51 84.48–92.53 83.18–93.83 | 80.73 76.41–85.06 75.10–86.37 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 12.34 9.40–15.29 8.65–16.04 | 22.63 16.84–28.41 15.34–29.91 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.33 0.00–2.60 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.06 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.23 | 4.09 2.54–5.65 2.11–6.07 | 6.50 3.51–9.49 2.70–10.31 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+