Serie A·Regular Season - 32·
Serie A·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
25%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.640.832.46safe0.67–2.600.00–1.680.64–4.29safer0.42–2.860.00–1.910.16–4.77
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.113.038.14safe3.25–6.971.29–4.774.53–11.74safer2.76–7.460.82–5.243.58–12.70
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.709.3725.07safe11.77–19.625.80–12.9317.58–32.55safer10.68–20.724.84–13.8915.53–34.60
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.785.7816.56safe7.84–13.733.10–8.4610.94–22.19safer7.01–14.562.36–9.209.37–23.75
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.662.417.07safe2.78–6.540.75–4.063.53–10.60safer2.23–7.090.26–4.552.50–11.64
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.549.46safe3.70–8.131.54–5.545.25–13.67safer3.13–8.701.01–6.084.14–14.78
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.1546.58safe47.36–60.9439.79–53.36safer45.69–62.6138.12–55.03
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction458401859safe390–525335–468725–992safer372–543317–485689–1028
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction79.0477.54safe75.01–83.0773.21–81.86safer73.72–84.3671.90–83.17
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6512.0124.66safe9.81–15.499.07–14.9618.88–30.44safer9.06–16.248.32–15.7017.37–31.95
Offsides
45%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.393.08safe0.53–2.850.30–2.480.82–5.33safer0.23–3.150.01–2.770.24–5.92
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.913.42safe0.47–2.570.78–3.031.24–5.60safer0.20–2.830.49–3.330.69–6.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.153.675.82safe0.71–3.582.11–5.232.83–8.81safer0.33–3.971.69–5.652.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.60 0.42–2.86 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 57% 25% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.25–6.97 2.76–7.46 | 3.03 1.29–4.77 0.82–5.24 | 8.14 4.53–11.74 3.58–12.70 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.72 | 9.37 5.80–12.93 4.84–13.89 | 25.07 17.58–32.55 15.53–34.60 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.78 7.84–13.73 7.01–14.56 | 5.78 3.10–8.46 2.36–9.20 | 16.56 10.94–22.19 9.37–23.75 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.66 2.78–6.54 2.23–7.09 | 2.41 0.75–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.50–11.64 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.70–8.13 3.13–8.70 | 3.54 1.54–5.54 1.01–6.08 | 9.46 5.25–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 54.15 47.36–60.94 45.69–62.61 | 46.58 39.79–53.36 38.12–55.03 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 458 390–525 372–543 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.04 75.01–83.07 73.72–84.36 | 77.54 73.21–81.86 71.90–83.17 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.81–15.49 9.06–16.24 | 12.01 9.07–14.96 8.32–15.70 | 24.66 18.88–30.44 17.37–31.95 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.08 0.82–5.33 0.24–5.92 | 45% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.91 0.78–3.03 0.49–3.33 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.58 0.33–3.97 | 3.67 2.11–5.23 1.69–5.65 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+