Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
18%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.142.393.54safe0.18–2.111.54–3.251.72–5.36safer0.00–2.361.31–3.481.24–5.84
Shots on target
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.907.0010.90safe2.04–5.765.26–8.747.29–14.50safer1.55–6.254.79–9.216.34–15.46
Total shots
15%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0917.2929.38safe8.17–16.0213.73–20.8521.89–36.87safer7.08–17.1112.77–21.8119.84–38.92
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6312.2719.90safe4.69–10.579.59–14.9514.27–25.52safer3.86–11.408.85–15.6912.71–27.09
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.234.978.20safe1.35–5.113.32–6.634.67–11.74safer0.81–5.662.83–7.123.63–12.78
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.126.0910.21safe1.91–6.334.09–8.096.00–14.43safer1.33–6.913.56–8.634.89–15.53
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.4564.53safe28.66–42.2457.74–71.31safer26.99–43.9156.07–72.99
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction329576904safe262–396509–642771–1038safer243–414492–660735–1074
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction78.3288.41safe74.29–82.3584.08–92.73safer73.00–83.6482.78–94.04
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3311.4522.78safe8.49–14.178.51–14.4017.00–28.57safer7.74–14.937.76–15.1515.50–30.07
Offsides
56%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.371.523.89safe1.21–3.530.43–2.621.63–6.14safer0.90–3.830.14–2.901.05–6.73
Yellow cards
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.272.66safe0.33–2.430.14–2.400.48–4.83safer0.07–2.700.00–2.690.00–5.39
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
64%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.626.64safe2.59–5.461.06–4.173.65–9.64safer2.20–5.850.64–4.602.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 2.39 1.54–3.25 1.31–3.48 | 3.54 1.72–5.36 1.24–5.84 | 17% 18% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.76 1.55–6.25 | 7.00 5.26–8.74 4.79–9.21 | 10.90 7.29–14.50 6.34–15.46 | 13% 79% |
| Total shots | 12.09 8.17–16.02 7.08–17.11 | 17.29 13.73–20.85 12.77–21.81 | 29.38 21.89–36.87 19.84–38.92 | 15% 81% |
| Shots in box | 7.63 4.69–10.57 3.86–11.40 | 12.27 9.59–14.95 8.85–15.69 | 19.90 14.27–25.52 12.71–27.09 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.35–5.11 0.81–5.66 | 4.97 3.32–6.63 2.83–7.12 | 8.20 4.67–11.74 3.63–12.78 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.12 1.91–6.33 1.33–6.91 | 6.09 4.09–8.09 3.56–8.63 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.53 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 35.45 28.66–42.24 26.99–43.91 | 64.53 57.74–71.31 56.07–72.99 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 329 262–396 243–414 | 576 509–642 492–660 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.32 74.29–82.35 73.00–83.64 | 88.41 84.08–92.73 82.78–94.04 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.17 7.74–14.93 | 11.45 8.51–14.40 7.76–15.15 | 22.78 17.00–28.57 15.50–30.07 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.37 1.21–3.53 0.90–3.83 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 3.89 1.63–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 56% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 1.27 0.14–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.66 0.48–4.83 0.00–5.39 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.03 2.59–5.46 2.20–5.85 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.64–4.60 | 6.64 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 64% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.