Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.052.86safe0.83–2.770.20–1.911.03–4.68safer0.58–3.020.00–2.140.55–5.16
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.609.05safe3.58–7.311.86–5.345.44–12.65safer3.09–7.801.39–5.814.49–13.61
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7411.0726.81safe11.81–19.667.51–14.6319.32–34.29safer10.72–20.756.55–15.5917.27–36.35
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.776.4316.20safe6.83–12.713.75–9.1110.58–21.83safer6.00–13.543.01–9.859.01–23.39
Blocked shots
57%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.097.19safe2.22–5.981.44–4.743.65–10.72safer1.67–6.520.94–5.232.62–11.76
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.7110.23safe3.31–7.732.71–6.716.02–14.44safer2.73–8.312.18–7.244.91–15.55
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction59.1342.07safe52.34–65.9235.28–48.85safer50.67–67.5933.61–50.53
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction523362885safe456–590296–429752–1019safer438–609278–446716–1055
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction86.5779.85safe82.54–90.6075.53–84.18safer81.25–91.8974.22–85.49
Fouls
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0813.9324.02safe7.25–12.9210.99–16.8818.23–29.80safer6.49–13.6810.24–17.6216.73–31.30
Offsides
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.311.104.42safe2.15–4.480.01–2.202.17–6.67safer1.85–4.780.00–2.491.58–7.26
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.963.32safe0.30–2.400.83–3.091.14–5.50safer0.04–2.670.54–3.380.58–6.05
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.616.12safe1.07–3.952.05–5.173.13–9.11safer0.69–4.331.63–5.592.32–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.45 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 3.60 1.86–5.34 1.39–5.81 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.74 11.81–19.66 10.72–20.75 | 11.07 7.51–14.63 6.55–15.59 | 26.81 19.32–34.29 17.27–36.35 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.83–12.71 6.00–13.54 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.85 | 16.20 10.58–21.83 9.01–23.39 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 3.09 1.44–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.19 3.65–10.72 2.62–11.76 | 57% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.73 2.73–8.31 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.24 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 59.13 52.34–65.92 50.67–67.59 | 42.07 35.28–48.85 33.61–50.53 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–609 | 362 296–429 278–446 | 885 752–1019 716–1055 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.57 82.54–90.60 81.25–91.89 | 79.85 75.53–84.18 74.22–85.49 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.08 7.25–12.92 6.49–13.68 | 13.93 10.99–16.88 10.24–17.62 | 24.02 18.23–29.80 16.73–31.30 | 19% 75% |
| Offsides | 3.31 2.15–4.48 1.85–4.78 | 1.10 0.01–2.20 0.00–2.49 | 4.42 2.17–6.67 1.58–7.26 | 80% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.58–6.05 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.95 0.69–4.33 | 3.61 2.05–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.92 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.