Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.312.61safe0.34–2.270.45–2.160.79–4.44safer0.09–2.530.22–2.390.31–4.92
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.338.80safe2.60–6.332.59–6.085.20–12.41safer2.11–6.822.13–6.544.24–13.36
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7512.0825.83safe9.82–17.678.51–15.6418.34–33.31safer8.73–18.777.55–16.6016.29–35.36
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.888.4416.32safe4.94–10.835.76–11.1210.70–21.94safer4.11–11.655.02–11.869.13–23.51
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.337.33safe2.12–5.891.68–4.983.80–10.87safer1.58–6.431.18–5.472.76–11.91
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.429.97safe3.33–7.762.42–6.425.75–14.18safer2.76–8.331.89–6.964.65–15.29
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.8943.43safe50.10–63.6836.64–50.21safer48.43–65.3534.97–51.89
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction494386880safe427–561319–452746–1013safer409–579302–470710–1049
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction82.3875.94safe78.35–86.4171.62–80.26safer77.06–87.7070.31–81.57
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.9625.06safe9.26–14.9410.02–15.9119.28–30.85safer8.51–15.699.27–16.6617.78–32.35
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.343.96safe0.46–2.781.25–3.431.71–6.21safer0.16–3.080.96–3.721.12–6.80
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.953.70safe0.71–2.800.82–3.071.52–5.88safer0.44–3.070.53–3.370.96–6.44
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.085.73safe1.22–4.091.52–4.632.74–8.73safer0.83–4.481.10–5.061.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.53 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 4.33 2.59–6.08 2.13–6.54 | 8.80 5.20–12.41 4.24–13.36 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.75 9.82–17.67 8.73–18.77 | 12.08 8.51–15.64 7.55–16.60 | 25.83 18.34–33.31 16.29–35.36 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 7.88 4.94–10.83 4.11–11.65 | 8.44 5.76–11.12 5.02–11.86 | 16.32 10.70–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.33 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.91 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.54 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.96 | 9.97 5.75–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 56.89 50.10–63.68 48.43–65.35 | 43.43 36.64–50.21 34.97–51.89 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 494 427–561 409–579 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.38 78.35–86.41 77.06–87.70 | 75.94 71.62–80.26 70.31–81.57 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.94 8.51–15.69 | 12.96 10.02–15.91 9.27–16.66 | 25.06 19.28–30.85 17.78–32.35 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 2.34 1.25–3.43 0.96–3.72 | 3.96 1.71–6.21 1.12–6.80 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.71–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.95 0.82–3.07 0.53–3.37 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.44 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.08 1.52–4.63 1.10–5.06 | 5.73 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+