Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.942.143.08safe0.00–1.911.29–3.001.26–4.91safer0.00–2.161.06–3.220.78–5.39
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.345.979.31safe1.48–5.214.23–7.715.71–12.92safer0.99–5.703.76–8.184.75–13.87
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5515.7225.28safe5.63–13.4812.16–19.2917.79–32.77safer4.54–14.5711.20–20.2515.74–34.82
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7810.5816.36safe2.84–8.737.89–13.2610.74–21.98safer2.01–9.567.16–13.999.17–23.55
Blocked shots
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.654.006.65safe0.77–4.532.35–5.653.11–10.18safer0.22–5.071.85–6.142.08–11.22
Corners
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.415.498.89safe1.19–5.623.49–7.494.68–13.11safer0.62–6.192.95–8.023.57–14.21
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.7653.19safe39.97–53.5546.40–59.97safer38.30–55.2244.73–61.64
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction440496936safe373–507430–563803–1070safer355–525412–580767–1106
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction79.2180.27safe75.18–83.2375.94–84.59safer73.88–84.5374.63–85.90
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8613.1924.05safe8.02–13.7010.24–16.1318.26–29.83safer7.27–14.459.49–16.8816.76–31.33
Offsides
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.303.78safe0.32–2.641.20–3.391.52–6.03safer0.02–2.940.91–3.680.93–6.62
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.813.88safe1.02–3.110.68–2.941.70–6.06safer0.75–3.380.39–3.231.14–6.61
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.372.346.71safe2.93–5.810.78–3.893.71–9.70safer2.55–6.190.36–4.322.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 2.14 1.29–3.00 1.06–3.22 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 16% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.34 1.48–5.21 0.99–5.70 | 5.97 4.23–7.71 3.76–8.18 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 9.55 5.63–13.48 4.54–14.57 | 15.72 12.16–19.29 11.20–20.25 | 25.28 17.79–32.77 15.74–34.82 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 5.78 2.84–8.73 2.01–9.56 | 10.58 7.89–13.26 7.16–13.99 | 16.36 10.74–21.98 9.17–23.55 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.65 0.77–4.53 0.22–5.07 | 4.00 2.35–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.08–11.22 | 23% 14% 63% |
| Corners | 3.41 1.19–5.62 0.62–6.19 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.95–8.02 | 8.89 4.68–13.11 3.57–14.21 | 19% 70% |
| Possession % | 46.76 39.97–53.55 38.30–55.22 | 53.19 46.40–59.97 44.73–61.64 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 936 803–1070 767–1106 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.21 75.18–83.23 73.88–84.53 | 80.27 75.94–84.59 74.63–85.90 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 10.86 8.02–13.70 7.27–14.45 | 13.19 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.88 | 24.05 18.26–29.83 16.76–31.33 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 2.30 1.20–3.39 0.91–3.68 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.61 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.37 2.93–5.81 2.55–6.19 | 2.34 0.78–3.89 0.36–4.32 | 6.71 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 72% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.