Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.733.61safe0.00–1.851.87–3.581.79–5.43safer0.00–2.101.65–3.811.31–5.91
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.117.0110.12safe1.25–4.985.26–8.756.52–13.73safer0.76–5.474.80–9.225.56–14.68
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2818.5127.80safe5.36–13.2114.95–22.0820.31–35.28safer4.27–14.3013.99–23.0418.26–37.34
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0713.2419.31safe3.12–9.0110.56–15.9213.68–24.93safer2.30–9.849.82–16.6612.12–26.50
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.964.977.94safe1.08–4.843.32–6.634.40–11.47safer0.54–5.392.83–7.123.36–12.51
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.366.189.54safe1.15–5.574.18–8.185.33–13.76safer0.57–6.153.65–8.724.22–14.86
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.9762.56safe32.18–45.7655.77–69.34safer30.51–47.4354.10–71.02
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction327533860safe260–394466–599726–993safer242–412449–617690–1029
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction68.2580.11safe64.22–72.2875.78–84.43safer62.92–73.5774.47–85.74
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6912.8424.52safe8.85–14.529.89–15.7818.74–30.30safer8.09–15.289.14–16.5317.24–31.81
Offsides
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.893.72safe0.66–2.980.80–2.981.46–5.97safer0.36–3.290.51–3.270.87–6.56
Yellow cards
38%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.903.76safe0.81–2.910.77–3.031.58–5.94safer0.55–3.180.48–3.321.03–6.50
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.336.88safe3.11–5.990.77–3.893.89–9.87safer2.73–6.370.35–4.313.08–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 2.73 1.87–3.58 1.65–3.81 | 3.61 1.79–5.43 1.31–5.91 | 14% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.11 1.25–4.98 0.76–5.47 | 7.01 5.26–8.75 4.80–9.22 | 10.12 6.52–13.73 5.56–14.68 | 86% |
| Total shots | 9.28 5.36–13.21 4.27–14.30 | 18.51 14.95–22.08 13.99–23.04 | 27.80 20.31–35.28 18.26–37.34 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 6.07 3.12–9.01 2.30–9.84 | 13.24 10.56–15.92 9.82–16.66 | 19.31 13.68–24.93 12.12–26.50 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.08–4.84 0.54–5.39 | 4.97 3.32–6.63 2.83–7.12 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.36–12.51 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.36 1.15–5.57 0.57–6.15 | 6.18 4.18–8.18 3.65–8.72 | 9.54 5.33–13.76 4.22–14.86 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 38.97 32.18–45.76 30.51–47.43 | 62.56 55.77–69.34 54.10–71.02 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 327 260–394 242–412 | 533 466–599 449–617 | 860 726–993 690–1029 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.25 64.22–72.28 62.92–73.57 | 80.11 75.78–84.43 74.47–85.74 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.52 8.09–15.28 | 12.84 9.89–15.78 9.14–16.53 | 24.52 18.74–30.30 17.24–31.81 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.29 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 38% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.55 3.11–5.99 2.73–6.37 | 2.33 0.77–3.89 0.35–4.31 | 6.88 3.89–9.87 3.08–10.68 | 74% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.