Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.212.65safe0.47–2.410.35–2.060.83–4.47safer0.22–2.660.13–2.290.35–4.95
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.239.17safe3.08–6.802.49–5.975.56–12.77safer2.59–7.292.02–6.444.61–13.73
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2212.4627.68safe11.30–19.158.90–16.0220.19–35.17safer10.21–20.247.94–16.9818.14–37.22
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.737.5817.31safe6.79–12.674.90–10.2611.68–22.93safer5.96–13.504.16–11.0010.12–24.50
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.058.48safe2.54–6.312.40–5.714.94–12.02safer2.00–6.851.91–6.203.91–13.05
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.5010.08safe3.36–7.792.50–6.505.87–14.29safer2.79–8.361.97–7.044.76–15.40
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.1553.29safe39.36–52.9446.51–60.08safer37.69–54.6144.84–61.75
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction417474891safe350–484408–541757–1025safer331–502390–558722–1060
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction76.7083.39safe72.67–80.7379.07–87.71safer71.38–82.0277.76–89.02
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6311.1723.81safe9.80–15.478.23–14.1218.02–29.59safer9.04–16.237.48–14.8716.52–31.09
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.713.30safe0.43–2.750.61–2.801.04–5.55safer0.13–3.050.32–3.090.45–6.14
Yellow cards
43%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.954.10safe1.10–3.190.82–3.081.92–6.28safer0.83–3.460.53–3.371.36–6.83
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.296.15safe1.43–4.301.73–4.843.16–9.14safer1.04–4.691.31–5.272.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.80 2.59–7.29 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.22 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.24 | 12.46 8.90–16.02 7.94–16.98 | 27.68 20.19–35.17 18.14–37.22 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.79–12.67 5.96–13.50 | 7.58 4.90–10.26 4.16–11.00 | 17.31 11.68–22.93 10.12–24.50 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.54–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 4.05 2.40–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 8.48 4.94–12.02 3.91–13.05 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.36–7.79 2.79–8.36 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 10.08 5.87–14.29 4.76–15.40 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 46.15 39.36–52.94 37.69–54.61 | 53.29 46.51–60.08 44.84–61.75 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 331–502 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.70 72.67–80.73 71.38–82.02 | 83.39 79.07–87.71 77.76–89.02 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 12.63 9.80–15.47 9.04–16.23 | 11.17 8.23–14.12 7.48–14.87 | 23.81 18.02–29.59 16.52–31.09 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.10–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 43% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.29 1.73–4.84 1.31–5.27 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+