Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.292.64safe0.38–2.320.43–2.140.82–4.46safer0.13–2.570.21–2.370.34–4.94
Shots on target
47%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.624.308.92safe2.76–6.482.56–6.045.31–12.52safer2.27–6.972.09–6.514.36–13.48
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3212.2725.59safe9.40–17.258.71–15.8318.11–33.08safer8.31–18.347.75–16.7916.05–35.13
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.407.5315.92safe5.45–11.344.84–10.2110.30–21.54safer4.62–12.174.11–10.948.73–23.11
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.166.72safe1.68–5.441.50–4.813.18–10.25safer1.13–5.991.01–5.302.14–11.29
Corners
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.539.08safe2.33–6.762.53–6.534.86–13.29safer1.76–7.332.00–7.063.76–14.40
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.0851.64safe41.29–54.8744.86–58.43safer39.62–56.5443.19–60.10
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction441466907safe374–509399–532773–1041safer356–527382–550738–1076
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction82.9484.37safe78.91–86.9780.05–88.70safer77.62–88.2678.74–90.00
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2111.5324.75safe10.38–16.058.59–14.4818.96–30.53safer9.62–16.817.84–15.2317.46–32.03
Offsides
54%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.704.11safe1.25–3.570.61–2.791.86–6.36safer0.95–3.870.32–3.081.27–6.95
Yellow cards
36%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.943.74safe0.75–2.840.81–3.071.56–5.92safer0.48–3.110.52–3.361.00–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.136.33safe1.77–4.641.57–4.683.34–9.32safer1.38–5.031.15–5.112.53–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 38% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 4.30 2.56–6.04 2.09–6.51 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.32 9.40–17.25 8.31–18.34 | 12.27 8.71–15.83 7.75–16.79 | 25.59 18.11–33.08 16.05–35.13 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.45–11.34 4.62–12.17 | 7.53 4.84–10.21 4.11–10.94 | 15.92 10.30–21.54 8.73–23.11 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.99 | 3.16 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 6.72 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.29 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 4.54 2.33–6.76 1.76–7.33 | 4.53 2.53–6.53 2.00–7.06 | 9.08 4.86–13.29 3.76–14.40 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 48.08 41.29–54.87 39.62–56.54 | 51.64 44.86–58.43 43.19–60.10 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 441 374–509 356–527 | 466 399–532 382–550 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.94 78.91–86.97 77.62–88.26 | 84.37 80.05–88.70 78.74–90.00 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 13.21 10.38–16.05 9.62–16.81 | 11.53 8.59–14.48 7.84–15.23 | 24.75 18.96–30.53 17.46–32.03 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.87 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 4.11 1.86–6.36 1.27–6.95 | 54% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.13 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+