Serie A·Regular Season - 34·
Serie A·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.182.64safe0.48–2.420.33–2.040.81–4.46safer0.23–2.670.10–2.270.33–4.94
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.868.36safe2.64–6.372.12–5.604.76–11.97safer2.15–6.861.65–6.073.80–12.92
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8911.5325.41safe9.96–17.817.97–15.0917.93–32.90safer8.87–18.907.01–16.0515.88–34.95
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.747.0516.79safe6.80–12.694.37–9.7311.17–22.41safer5.97–13.513.63–10.479.60–23.98
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.752.896.64safe1.86–5.631.24–4.553.10–10.17safer1.32–6.170.75–5.042.07–11.21
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.159.39safe3.02–7.452.15–6.155.17–13.60safer2.45–8.021.62–6.684.07–14.71
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.6743.72safe48.88–62.4636.94–50.51safer47.21–64.1335.27–52.18
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction507377885safe440–575311–444751–1018safer422–593293–461715–1054
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction84.6376.76safe80.60–88.6672.44–81.08safer79.31–89.9571.13–82.39
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6313.3927.02safe10.79–16.4710.44–16.3321.24–32.80safer10.04–17.239.69–17.0819.73–34.31
Offsides
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.382.89safe0.36–2.680.28–2.470.64–5.15safer0.06–2.980.00–2.760.05–5.74
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.304.09safe0.74–2.841.17–3.431.92–6.27safer0.48–3.110.88–3.721.36–6.83
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.135.72safe1.15–4.021.58–4.692.73–8.71safer0.76–4.411.15–5.111.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.37 2.15–6.86 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 8.36 4.76–11.97 3.80–12.92 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.89 9.96–17.81 8.87–18.90 | 11.53 7.97–15.09 7.01–16.05 | 25.41 17.93–32.90 15.88–34.95 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.74 6.80–12.69 5.97–13.51 | 7.05 4.37–9.73 3.63–10.47 | 16.79 11.17–22.41 9.60–23.98 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.86–5.63 1.32–6.17 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 6.64 3.10–10.17 2.07–11.21 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.62–6.68 | 9.39 5.17–13.60 4.07–14.71 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 55.67 48.88–62.46 47.21–64.13 | 43.72 36.94–50.51 35.27–52.18 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 507 440–575 422–593 | 377 311–444 293–461 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.63 80.60–88.66 79.31–89.95 | 76.76 72.44–81.08 71.13–82.39 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 13.63 10.79–16.47 10.04–17.23 | 13.39 10.44–16.33 9.69–17.08 | 27.02 21.24–32.80 19.73–34.31 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 2.89 0.64–5.15 0.05–5.74 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.09 1.92–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+