Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.352.48safe0.17–2.100.49–2.200.66–4.30safer0.00–2.350.26–2.430.18–4.78
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.974.318.28safe2.11–5.832.57–6.054.68–11.89safer1.62–6.322.10–6.523.72–12.84
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6412.0325.67safe9.72–17.578.46–15.5918.18–33.16safer8.63–18.667.50–16.5516.13–35.21
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.777.7216.49safe5.83–11.725.04–10.4010.87–22.11safer5.00–12.544.30–11.139.30–23.68
Blocked shots
53%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.712.976.68safe1.83–5.591.32–4.623.15–10.22safer1.29–6.140.83–5.122.11–11.25
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.359.54safe2.98–7.412.35–6.355.33–13.76safer2.41–7.981.82–6.884.22–14.86
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.4451.30safe42.65–56.2344.52–58.09safer40.98–57.9042.84–59.76
Passes
40%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction441470911safe374–509404–537778–1045safer356–527386–554742–1081
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction81.2482.75safe77.21–85.2778.43–87.07safer75.92–86.5677.12–88.38
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1511.8423.99safe9.31–14.988.89–14.7818.20–29.77safer8.55–15.748.15–15.5316.70–31.27
Offsides
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.212.954.16safe0.05–2.371.86–4.051.91–6.42safer0.00–2.671.57–4.331.32–7.01
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.753.34safe0.53–2.630.62–2.881.16–5.51safer0.27–2.900.33–3.170.60–6.07
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.825.31safe1.05–3.921.27–4.382.32–8.30safer0.66–4.310.84–4.811.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 31% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.83 1.62–6.32 | 4.31 2.57–6.05 2.10–6.52 | 8.28 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.84 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.64 9.72–17.57 8.63–18.66 | 12.03 8.46–15.59 7.50–16.55 | 25.67 18.18–33.16 16.13–35.21 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.77 5.83–11.72 5.00–12.54 | 7.72 5.04–10.40 4.30–11.13 | 16.49 10.87–22.11 9.30–23.68 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.29–6.14 | 2.97 1.32–4.62 0.83–5.12 | 6.68 3.15–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 53% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.98 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 9.54 5.33–13.76 4.22–14.86 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 49.44 42.65–56.23 40.98–57.90 | 51.30 44.52–58.09 42.84–59.76 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 441 374–509 356–527 | 470 404–537 386–554 | 911 778–1045 742–1081 | 40% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.24 77.21–85.27 75.92–86.56 | 82.75 78.43–87.07 77.12–88.38 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.98 8.55–15.74 | 11.84 8.89–14.78 8.15–15.53 | 23.99 18.20–29.77 16.70–31.27 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.21 0.05–2.37 0.00–2.67 | 2.95 1.86–4.05 1.57–4.33 | 4.16 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 15% 73% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.34 1.16–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.82 1.27–4.38 0.84–4.81 | 5.31 2.32–8.30 1.50–9.11 | 35% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.