Serie A·Regular Season - 35·
Serie A·Regular Season - 35·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.932.99safe0.09–2.031.08–2.791.17–4.81safer0.00–2.280.85–3.020.69–5.29
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.665.168.83safe1.80–5.533.42–6.915.22–12.43safer1.31–6.022.96–7.374.27–13.39
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8614.6125.48safe6.94–14.7911.05–18.1817.99–32.96safer5.85–15.8810.09–19.1315.94–35.01
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.639.6416.28safe3.69–9.586.96–12.3210.65–21.90safer2.86–10.406.22–13.069.09–23.47
Blocked shots
28%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.906.77safe0.99–4.752.25–5.553.23–10.30safer0.44–5.291.75–6.042.20–11.34
Corners
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.968.64safe1.47–5.892.96–6.964.43–12.85safer0.89–6.472.43–7.493.32–13.96
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.6758.69safe35.88–49.4651.91–65.48safer34.21–51.1350.24–67.15
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction380522902safe313–447456–589768–1036safer295–465438–606733–1071
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction69.8179.19safe65.78–73.8474.87–83.51safer64.49–75.1373.56–84.82
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8613.3025.16safe9.02–14.6910.36–16.2519.38–30.94safer8.26–15.459.61–17.0017.87–32.45
Offsides
39%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.703.41safe0.54–2.860.61–2.801.15–5.66safer0.24–3.160.32–3.090.56–6.25
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.013.96safe0.90–3.000.88–3.141.78–6.14safer0.64–3.270.59–3.431.23–6.70
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.625.85safe1.80–4.671.06–4.172.85–8.84safer1.41–5.050.63–4.602.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.93 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.53 1.31–6.02 | 5.16 3.42–6.91 2.96–7.37 | 8.83 5.22–12.43 4.27–13.39 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 10.86 6.94–14.79 5.85–15.88 | 14.61 11.05–18.18 10.09–19.13 | 25.48 17.99–32.96 15.94–35.01 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 6.63 3.69–9.58 2.86–10.40 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 16.28 10.65–21.90 9.09–23.47 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.75 0.44–5.29 | 3.90 2.25–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 6.77 3.23–10.30 2.20–11.34 | 28% 15% 58% |
| Corners | 3.68 1.47–5.89 0.89–6.47 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.49 | 8.64 4.43–12.85 3.32–13.96 | 27% 60% |
| Possession % | 42.67 35.88–49.46 34.21–51.13 | 58.69 51.91–65.48 50.24–67.15 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 380 313–447 295–465 | 522 456–589 438–606 | 902 768–1036 733–1071 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.81 65.78–73.84 64.49–75.13 | 79.19 74.87–83.51 73.56–84.82 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.69 8.26–15.45 | 13.30 10.36–16.25 9.61–17.00 | 25.16 19.38–30.94 17.87–32.45 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.05 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.60 | 5.85 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.