Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.800.733.52safe1.83–3.770.00–1.581.70–5.35safer1.58–4.020.00–1.811.22–5.83
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.902.8610.76safe6.03–9.761.12–4.607.15–14.36safer5.54–10.250.65–5.076.20–15.32
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.058.4429.49safe17.13–24.984.88–12.0022.01–36.98safer16.04–26.073.92–12.9619.96–39.03
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.105.1820.28safe12.16–18.042.50–7.8614.66–25.90safer11.33–18.871.76–8.6013.09–27.47
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.132.117.24safe3.25–7.010.45–3.763.70–10.77safer2.70–7.560.00–4.252.66–11.81
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.693.0210.71safe5.48–9.911.02–5.026.50–14.92safer4.91–10.480.48–5.555.39–16.03
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.7131.63safe61.92–75.5024.84–38.41safer60.25–77.1723.17–40.08
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction681316997safe614–748249–382863–1131safer596–766232–400827–1166
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction91.0778.40safe87.04–95.1074.07–82.72safer85.75–96.3972.76–84.03
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.289.6818.96safe6.44–12.116.73–12.6213.17–24.74safer5.68–12.875.98–13.3711.67–26.24
Offsides
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.591.515.10safe2.43–4.750.42–2.612.85–7.35safer2.13–5.050.13–2.902.26–7.94
Yellow cards
21%
26%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction0.851.532.38safe0.00–1.900.40–2.660.20–4.56safer0.00–2.170.11–2.950.00–5.12
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.090.12safe0.00–0.190.00–0.280.00–0.47safer0.00–0.340.00–0.410.00–0.75
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.034.876.90safe0.59–3.463.31–6.423.90–9.89safer0.20–3.852.89–6.853.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.80 1.83–3.77 1.58–4.02 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 3.52 1.70–5.35 1.22–5.83 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 7.90 6.03–9.76 5.54–10.25 | 2.86 1.12–4.60 0.65–5.07 | 10.76 7.15–14.36 6.20–15.32 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.05 17.13–24.98 16.04–26.07 | 8.44 4.88–12.00 3.92–12.96 | 29.49 22.01–36.98 19.96–39.03 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.10 12.16–18.04 11.33–18.87 | 5.18 2.50–7.86 1.76–8.60 | 20.28 14.66–25.90 13.09–27.47 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.13 3.25–7.01 2.70–7.56 | 2.11 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.24 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.81 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.69 5.48–9.91 4.91–10.48 | 3.02 1.02–5.02 0.48–5.55 | 10.71 6.50–14.92 5.39–16.03 | 90% |
| Possession % | 68.71 61.92–75.50 60.25–77.17 | 31.63 24.84–38.41 23.17–40.08 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 681 614–748 596–766 | 316 249–382 232–400 | 997 863–1131 827–1166 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 91.07 87.04–95.10 85.75–96.39 | 78.40 74.07–82.72 72.76–84.03 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 9.28 6.44–12.11 5.68–12.87 | 9.68 6.73–12.62 5.98–13.37 | 18.96 13.17–24.74 11.67–26.24 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 3.59 2.43–4.75 2.13–5.05 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 5.10 2.85–7.35 2.26–7.94 | 76% |
| Yellow cards | 0.85 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.17 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 2.38 0.20–4.56 0.00–5.12 | 21% 26% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.19 0.00–0.34 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.03 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.85 | 4.87 3.31–6.42 2.89–6.85 | 6.90 3.90–9.89 3.09–10.70 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.