Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.213.06safe0.00–1.831.35–3.061.24–4.89safer0.00–2.081.12–3.290.76–5.37
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.985.598.58safe1.12–4.853.85–7.344.97–12.18safer0.63–5.343.39–7.804.02–13.14
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1815.5823.76safe4.25–12.1012.02–19.1416.27–31.24safer3.16–13.1911.06–20.1014.22–33.29
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.569.8415.40safe2.62–8.507.16–12.529.78–21.02safer1.79–9.336.42–13.268.21–22.59
Blocked shots
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.094.316.40safe0.21–3.972.66–5.972.87–9.94safer0.00–4.522.17–6.461.83–10.98
Corners
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.305.789.08safe1.09–5.513.78–7.784.86–13.29safer0.51–6.093.24–8.313.76–14.40
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.0264.10safe28.23–41.8157.32–70.89safer26.56–43.4855.65–72.56
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction341603945safe274–409537–670811–1079safer256–427520–687776–1114
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction80.5290.15safe76.49–84.5585.83–94.48safer75.19–85.8484.52–95.79
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7610.9522.71safe8.92–14.608.00–13.8916.93–28.49safer8.17–15.357.26–14.6415.42–30.00
Offsides
60%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.591.554.14safe1.43–3.750.45–2.641.88–6.39safer1.13–4.050.16–2.931.29–6.98
Yellow cards
43%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.723.62safe0.85–2.950.60–2.851.44–5.80safer0.58–3.210.30–3.140.89–6.36
Red cards
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.110.27safe0.00–0.320.00–0.300.00–0.62safer0.00–0.470.00–0.430.00–0.90
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.592.105.69safe2.15–5.030.54–3.652.69–8.68safer1.77–5.410.12–4.081.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 2.21 1.35–3.06 1.12–3.29 | 3.06 1.24–4.89 0.76–5.37 | 13% 19% 68% |
| Shots on target | 2.98 1.12–4.85 0.63–5.34 | 5.59 3.85–7.34 3.39–7.80 | 8.58 4.97–12.18 4.02–13.14 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 8.18 4.25–12.10 3.16–13.19 | 15.58 12.02–19.14 11.06–20.10 | 23.76 16.27–31.24 14.22–33.29 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.56 2.62–8.50 1.79–9.33 | 9.84 7.16–12.52 6.42–13.26 | 15.40 9.78–21.02 8.21–22.59 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.09 0.21–3.97 0.00–4.52 | 4.31 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 6.40 2.87–9.94 1.83–10.98 | 14% 75% |
| Corners | 3.30 1.09–5.51 0.51–6.09 | 5.78 3.78–7.78 3.24–8.31 | 9.08 4.86–13.29 3.76–14.40 | 16% 74% |
| Possession % | 35.02 28.23–41.81 26.56–43.48 | 64.10 57.32–70.89 55.65–72.56 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 341 274–409 256–427 | 603 537–670 520–687 | 945 811–1079 776–1114 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.52 76.49–84.55 75.19–85.84 | 90.15 85.83–94.48 84.52–95.79 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.60 8.17–15.35 | 10.95 8.00–13.89 7.26–14.64 | 22.71 16.93–28.49 15.42–30.00 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.59 1.43–3.75 1.13–4.05 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 4.14 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 1.72 0.60–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 43% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 13% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.59 2.15–5.03 1.77–5.41 | 2.10 0.54–3.65 0.12–4.08 | 5.69 2.69–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.