Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.882.87safe0.02–1.961.02–2.731.04–4.69safer0.00–2.210.79–2.960.56–5.17
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.265.488.74safe1.40–5.133.74–7.225.14–12.35safer0.91–5.623.27–7.694.18–13.30
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8515.2625.11safe5.93–13.7711.69–18.8217.62–32.59safer4.83–14.8710.73–19.7815.57–34.64
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.169.7815.94safe3.21–9.107.10–12.4610.32–21.56safer2.39–9.936.36–13.208.75–23.13
Blocked shots
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.976.70safe0.85–4.612.32–5.623.16–10.23safer0.30–5.151.82–6.112.13–11.27
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.785.389.16safe1.57–5.993.38–7.384.95–13.37safer0.99–6.572.85–7.913.84–14.48
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.5356.69safe36.74–50.3249.91–63.48safer35.07–51.9948.23–65.15
Passes
15%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction398519917safe331–465453–586783–1051safer313–483435–603748–1087
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction77.0279.96safe72.99–81.0575.64–84.28safer71.70–82.3474.33–85.59
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3312.9224.25safe8.49–14.179.98–15.8718.47–30.04safer7.74–14.929.23–16.6216.97–31.54
Offsides
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.193.50safe0.15–2.471.10–3.291.25–5.75safer0.00–2.770.81–3.580.66–6.34
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.623.59safe0.93–3.030.49–2.751.42–5.77safer0.66–3.290.20–3.040.86–6.33
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.476.36safe2.46–5.330.91–4.023.37–9.36safer2.07–5.720.49–4.452.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.88 1.02–2.73 0.79–2.96 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.26 1.40–5.13 0.91–5.62 | 5.48 3.74–7.22 3.27–7.69 | 8.74 5.14–12.35 4.18–13.30 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 9.85 5.93–13.77 4.83–14.87 | 15.26 11.69–18.82 10.73–19.78 | 25.11 17.62–32.59 15.57–34.64 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.16 3.21–9.10 2.39–9.93 | 9.78 7.10–12.46 6.36–13.20 | 15.94 10.32–21.56 8.75–23.13 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.85–4.61 0.30–5.15 | 3.97 2.32–5.62 1.82–6.11 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.13–11.27 | 25% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 3.78 1.57–5.99 0.99–6.57 | 5.38 3.38–7.38 2.85–7.91 | 9.16 4.95–13.37 3.84–14.48 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 43.53 36.74–50.32 35.07–51.99 | 56.69 49.91–63.48 48.23–65.15 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 398 331–465 313–483 | 519 453–586 435–603 | 917 783–1051 748–1087 | 15% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.02 72.99–81.05 71.70–82.34 | 79.96 75.64–84.28 74.33–85.59 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.17 7.74–14.92 | 12.92 9.98–15.87 9.23–16.62 | 24.25 18.47–30.04 16.97–31.54 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 2.19 1.10–3.29 0.81–3.58 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.59 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.90 2.46–5.33 2.07–5.72 | 2.47 0.91–4.02 0.49–4.45 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+