Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.402.73safe0.37–2.310.54–2.250.91–4.56safer0.12–2.560.31–2.480.43–5.04
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.018.32safe2.44–6.172.27–5.754.71–11.92safer1.95–6.661.80–6.223.76–12.88
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6211.5924.20safe8.69–16.548.02–15.1516.72–31.69safer7.60–17.637.07–16.1114.66–33.74
Shots in box
51%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction7.877.2315.09safe4.92–10.814.55–9.919.47–20.72safer4.09–11.643.81–10.657.90–22.28
Blocked shots
43%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.016.12safe1.23–5.001.35–4.662.59–9.66safer0.69–5.540.86–5.151.55–10.69
Corners
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.038.50safe2.26–6.682.03–6.034.28–12.71safer1.68–7.261.49–6.563.17–13.82
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.7346.90safe47.94–61.5240.11–53.68safer46.27–63.1938.44–55.35
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction506444950safe438–573377–510816–1083safer420–591360–528780–1119
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction84.3780.24safe80.34–88.4075.92–84.56safer79.05–89.7074.61–85.87
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6114.6025.21safe7.77–13.4511.66–17.5519.43–30.99safer7.02–14.2010.91–18.2917.92–32.50
Offsides
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.864.57safe0.55–2.871.76–3.952.32–6.83safer0.25–3.181.48–4.241.73–7.41
Yellow cards
28%
18%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.614.49safe0.83–2.931.49–3.742.32–6.67safer0.56–3.201.19–4.031.76–7.23
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.882.925.80safe1.44–4.311.37–4.482.81–8.79safer1.05–4.700.94–4.902.00–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 36% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.44–6.17 1.95–6.66 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 8.32 4.71–11.92 3.76–12.88 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.69–16.54 7.60–17.63 | 11.59 8.02–15.15 7.07–16.11 | 24.20 16.72–31.69 14.66–33.74 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.92–10.81 4.09–11.64 | 7.23 4.55–9.91 3.81–10.65 | 15.09 9.47–20.72 7.90–22.28 | 51% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.23–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 6.12 2.59–9.66 1.55–10.69 | 43% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.26–6.68 1.68–7.26 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.49–6.56 | 8.50 4.28–12.71 3.17–13.82 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Possession % | 54.73 47.94–61.52 46.27–63.19 | 46.90 40.11–53.68 38.44–55.35 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 506 438–573 420–591 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 950 816–1083 780–1119 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.37 80.34–88.40 79.05–89.70 | 80.24 75.92–84.56 74.61–85.87 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.45 7.02–14.20 | 14.60 11.66–17.55 10.91–18.29 | 25.21 19.43–30.99 17.92–32.50 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 2.86 1.76–3.95 1.48–4.24 | 4.57 2.32–6.83 1.73–7.41 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.20 | 2.61 1.49–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 4.49 2.32–6.67 1.76–7.23 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 2.00–9.60 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+