Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.023.15safe1.16–3.090.17–1.881.32–4.97safer0.91–3.340.00–2.100.84–5.45
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.523.5010.01safe4.65–8.381.76–5.246.41–13.62safer4.17–8.871.29–5.715.45–14.58
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.5410.1828.72safe14.61–22.466.62–13.7421.23–36.20safer13.52–23.555.66–14.7019.18–38.25
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.726.4319.14safe9.78–15.663.75–9.1113.52–24.77safer8.95–16.493.01–9.8411.95–26.34
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.762.587.35safe2.88–6.650.93–4.243.81–10.88safer2.34–7.190.44–4.732.78–11.92
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.6010.02safe4.21–8.641.60–5.605.80–14.23safer3.64–9.211.06–6.134.70–15.34
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction60.0940.51safe53.30–66.8833.72–47.29safer51.63–68.5532.05–48.96
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction527324851safe459–594258–391717–985safer441–612240–408682–1020
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction86.1077.13safe82.07–90.1372.81–81.46safer80.78–91.4271.50–82.77
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2613.0425.30safe9.42–15.1010.10–15.9919.52–31.09safer8.67–15.859.35–16.7418.02–32.59
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.412.93safe0.36–2.680.32–2.500.68–5.18safer0.06–2.980.03–2.790.09–5.77
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.153.96safe0.76–2.851.02–3.281.78–6.14safer0.49–3.120.73–3.571.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.316.68safe0.93–3.802.75–5.863.68–9.67safer0.54–4.192.33–6.292.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.09 0.91–3.34 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 3.15 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.52 4.65–8.38 4.17–8.87 | 3.50 1.76–5.24 1.29–5.71 | 10.01 6.41–13.62 5.45–14.58 | 79% |
| Total shots | 18.54 14.61–22.46 13.52–23.55 | 10.18 6.62–13.74 5.66–14.70 | 28.72 21.23–36.20 19.18–38.25 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.72 9.78–15.66 8.95–16.49 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.84 | 19.14 13.52–24.77 11.95–26.34 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.88–6.65 2.34–7.19 | 2.58 0.93–4.24 0.44–4.73 | 7.35 3.81–10.88 2.78–11.92 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.64 3.64–9.21 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.06–6.13 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 60.09 53.30–66.88 51.63–68.55 | 40.51 33.72–47.29 32.05–48.96 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 527 459–594 441–612 | 324 258–391 240–408 | 851 717–985 682–1020 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.10 82.07–90.13 80.78–91.42 | 77.13 72.81–81.46 71.50–82.77 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.42–15.10 8.67–15.85 | 13.04 10.10–15.99 9.35–16.74 | 25.30 19.52–31.09 18.02–32.59 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 2.93 0.68–5.18 0.09–5.77 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.22–6.69 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 4.31 2.75–5.86 2.33–6.29 | 6.68 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+