Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.292.62safe0.36–2.300.44–2.150.80–4.44safer0.11–2.550.21–2.380.32–4.92
Shots on target
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.639.03safe2.53–6.262.89–6.385.42–12.63safer2.04–6.752.42–6.844.47–13.59
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3512.6726.01safe9.42–17.279.10–16.2318.53–33.50safer8.33–18.368.14–17.1916.48–35.55
Shots in box
59%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.697.2815.97safe5.75–11.644.59–9.9610.35–21.59safer4.92–12.463.86–10.698.78–23.16
Blocked shots
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.246.74safe1.62–5.391.59–4.893.21–10.28safer1.08–5.931.09–5.382.17–11.31
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.125.0310.15safe2.90–7.333.03–7.035.93–14.36safer2.33–7.912.50–7.564.83–15.47
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.4153.81safe39.62–53.2047.03–60.60safer37.95–54.8745.35–62.27
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction450495945safe382–517429–562811–1078safer364–535411–579775–1114
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction84.3986.30safe80.36–88.4281.98–90.62safer79.07–89.7180.67–91.93
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3710.4922.86safe9.53–15.217.54–13.4317.07–28.64safer8.78–15.966.79–14.1815.57–30.14
Offsides
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.223.64safe1.27–3.590.12–2.311.39–5.90safer0.97–3.890.00–2.600.80–6.48
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.563.09safe0.48–2.580.44–2.690.91–5.27safer0.21–2.840.14–2.980.35–5.83
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.026.09safe1.64–4.511.46–4.573.10–9.08safer1.25–4.901.03–5.002.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.53–6.26 2.04–6.75 | 4.63 2.89–6.38 2.42–6.84 | 9.03 5.42–12.63 4.47–13.59 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.35 9.42–17.27 8.33–18.36 | 12.67 9.10–16.23 8.14–17.19 | 26.01 18.53–33.50 16.48–35.55 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.69 5.75–11.64 4.92–12.46 | 7.28 4.59–9.96 3.86–10.69 | 15.97 10.35–21.59 8.78–23.16 | 59% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 3.24 1.59–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 6.74 3.21–10.28 2.17–11.31 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.90–7.33 2.33–7.91 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 46.41 39.62–53.20 37.95–54.87 | 53.81 47.03–60.60 45.35–62.27 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 450 382–517 364–535 | 495 429–562 411–579 | 945 811–1078 775–1114 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.39 80.36–88.42 79.07–89.71 | 86.30 81.98–90.62 80.67–91.93 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.53–15.21 8.78–15.96 | 10.49 7.54–13.43 6.79–14.18 | 22.86 17.07–28.64 15.57–30.14 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 2.43 1.27–3.59 0.97–3.89 | 1.22 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 3.64 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.48 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.56 0.44–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.83 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.03–5.00 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 43% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+