Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.343.10safe0.79–2.730.49–2.201.28–4.93safer0.54–2.980.26–2.430.80–5.41
Shots on target
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.2910.37safe4.22–7.942.55–6.036.77–13.98safer3.73–8.432.08–6.505.81–14.93
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6811.0728.75safe13.76–21.617.50–14.6321.26–36.24safer12.67–22.706.55–15.5919.21–38.29
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.077.3018.37safe8.13–14.024.62–9.9812.75–24.00safer7.30–14.843.88–10.7211.18–25.56
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.942.847.78safe3.06–6.821.18–4.494.24–11.31safer2.52–7.370.69–4.983.21–12.35
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.9910.25safe4.05–8.481.99–5.996.04–14.47safer3.48–9.051.45–6.524.93–15.57
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.9443.82safe50.15–63.7337.03–50.60safer48.48–65.4035.36–52.27
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction547424971safe480–615358–490838–1105safer462–633340–508802–1141
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction84.9081.85safe80.87–88.9377.52–86.17safer79.58–90.2276.22–87.48
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2611.0522.30safe8.42–14.098.10–13.9916.52–28.08safer7.66–14.857.35–14.7415.02–29.59
Offsides
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.624.99safe1.21–3.531.53–3.712.74–7.25safer0.91–3.831.24–4.002.15–7.84
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.883.61safe0.68–2.780.75–3.011.43–5.79safer0.41–3.040.46–3.300.87–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.966.70safe1.30–4.172.40–5.523.70–9.69safer0.91–4.561.98–5.942.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 3.10 1.28–4.93 0.80–5.41 | 47% 23% 29% |
| Shots on target | 6.08 4.22–7.94 3.73–8.43 | 4.29 2.55–6.03 2.08–6.50 | 10.37 6.77–13.98 5.81–14.93 | 66% 24% |
| Total shots | 17.68 13.76–21.61 12.67–22.70 | 11.07 7.50–14.63 6.55–15.59 | 28.75 21.26–36.24 19.21–38.29 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.07 8.13–14.02 7.30–14.84 | 7.30 4.62–9.98 3.88–10.72 | 18.37 12.75–24.00 11.18–25.56 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.94 3.06–6.82 2.52–7.37 | 2.84 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.78 4.24–11.31 3.21–12.35 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.05–8.48 3.48–9.05 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.45–6.52 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.57 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.94 50.15–63.73 48.48–65.40 | 43.82 37.03–50.60 35.36–52.27 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 547 480–615 462–633 | 424 358–490 340–508 | 971 838–1105 802–1141 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.90 80.87–88.93 79.58–90.22 | 81.85 77.52–86.17 76.22–87.48 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.09 7.66–14.85 | 11.05 8.10–13.99 7.35–14.74 | 22.30 16.52–28.08 15.02–29.59 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.37 1.21–3.53 0.91–3.83 | 2.62 1.53–3.71 1.24–4.00 | 4.99 2.74–7.25 2.15–7.84 | 37% 18% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.35 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.96 2.40–5.52 1.98–5.94 | 6.70 3.70–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.