Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.823.41safe0.63–2.570.96–2.671.59–5.24safer0.38–2.820.73–2.901.11–5.72
Shots on target
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.254.8010.05safe3.38–7.113.06–6.556.45–13.66safer2.89–7.602.60–7.015.49–14.61
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0712.7227.78safe11.14–18.999.15–16.2820.29–35.27safer10.05–20.088.19–17.2418.24–37.32
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.708.4018.10safe6.75–12.645.72–11.0812.47–23.72safer5.92–13.474.98–11.8210.91–25.29
Blocked shots
42%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.917.75safe1.96–5.722.26–5.564.21–11.28safer1.41–6.271.76–6.053.18–12.32
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.699.63safe2.73–7.152.69–6.695.41–13.84safer2.15–7.732.15–7.224.31–14.95
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.3056.39safe36.51–50.1049.61–63.18safer34.85–51.7647.93–64.85
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction413537951safe346–481471–604817–1084safer328–499453–621781–1120
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction78.7486.07safe74.71–82.7681.75–90.40safer73.41–84.0680.44–91.71
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7210.1721.88safe8.88–14.567.22–13.1116.10–27.67safer8.13–15.316.47–13.8614.60–29.17
Offsides
60%
18%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.521.504.03safe1.36–3.680.41–2.601.77–6.28safer1.06–3.990.12–2.881.19–6.87
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.763.38safe0.58–2.670.63–2.881.20–5.56safer0.31–2.940.34–3.180.64–6.12
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.236.23safe1.56–4.431.67–4.783.23–9.22safer1.17–4.821.25–5.212.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.82 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 3.41 1.59–5.24 1.11–5.72 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Shots on target | 5.25 3.38–7.11 2.89–7.60 | 4.80 3.06–6.55 2.60–7.01 | 10.05 6.45–13.66 5.49–14.61 | 49% 38% |
| Total shots | 15.07 11.14–18.99 10.05–20.08 | 12.72 9.15–16.28 8.19–17.24 | 27.78 20.29–35.27 18.24–37.32 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.70 6.75–12.64 5.92–13.47 | 8.40 5.72–11.08 4.98–11.82 | 18.10 12.47–23.72 10.91–25.29 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.27 | 3.91 2.26–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 7.75 4.21–11.28 3.18–12.32 | 42% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.15 2.15–7.73 | 4.69 2.69–6.69 2.15–7.22 | 9.63 5.41–13.84 4.31–14.95 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 43.30 36.51–50.10 34.85–51.76 | 56.39 49.61–63.18 47.93–64.85 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 413 346–481 328–499 | 537 471–604 453–621 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.74 74.71–82.76 73.41–84.06 | 86.07 81.75–90.40 80.44–91.71 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.88–14.56 8.13–15.31 | 10.17 7.22–13.11 6.47–13.86 | 21.88 16.10–27.67 14.60–29.17 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.52 1.36–3.68 1.06–3.99 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.88 | 4.03 1.77–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.58–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.76 0.63–2.88 0.34–3.18 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.12 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.23 1.67–4.78 1.25–5.21 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.