Serie A·Regular Season - 36·
Serie A·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.792.82safe0.07–2.010.93–2.641.00–4.65safer0.00–2.260.70–2.870.52–5.13
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.309.02safe1.86–5.583.55–7.045.41–12.62safer1.37–6.073.09–7.514.46–13.58
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0614.2826.34safe8.13–15.9810.72–17.8418.85–33.83safer7.04–17.089.76–18.8016.80–35.88
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.759.5517.30safe4.81–10.706.87–12.2311.68–22.92safer3.98–11.536.13–12.9710.11–24.49
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.226.27safe1.17–4.931.57–4.872.73–9.80safer0.62–5.471.08–5.371.70–10.84
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.845.3710.22safe2.63–7.063.37–7.376.01–14.43safer2.06–7.632.84–7.914.90–15.54
Possession %
44%
52%
homeawayprediction49.2350.91safe42.44–56.0244.12–57.69safer40.77–57.6942.45–59.36
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction411431841safe343–478364–497707–975safer325–496347–515672–1010
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction77.3776.96safe73.34–81.4072.63–81.28safer72.05–82.6971.32–82.59
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.1424.54safe9.55–15.239.20–15.0918.75–30.32safer8.80–15.998.45–15.8417.25–31.82
Offsides
14%
16%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.834.07safe0.08–2.401.74–3.931.82–6.32safer0.00–2.701.45–4.211.23–6.91
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.743.48safe0.69–2.790.61–2.871.30–5.66safer0.42–3.050.32–3.160.75–6.22
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.595.98safe1.96–4.831.03–4.142.99–8.98safer1.57–5.220.60–4.572.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.79 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.87 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.58 1.37–6.07 | 5.30 3.55–7.04 3.09–7.51 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.46–13.58 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 12.06 8.13–15.98 7.04–17.08 | 14.28 10.72–17.84 9.76–18.80 | 26.34 18.85–33.83 16.80–35.88 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.75 4.81–10.70 3.98–11.53 | 9.55 6.87–12.23 6.13–12.97 | 17.30 11.68–22.92 10.11–24.49 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.17–4.93 0.62–5.47 | 3.22 1.57–4.87 1.08–5.37 | 6.27 2.73–9.80 1.70–10.84 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.63–7.06 2.06–7.63 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.84–7.91 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 49.23 42.44–56.02 40.77–57.69 | 50.91 44.12–57.69 42.45–59.36 | — | 44% 52% |
| Passes | 411 343–478 325–496 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.37 73.34–81.40 72.05–82.69 | 76.96 72.63–81.28 71.32–82.59 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 12.14 9.20–15.09 8.45–15.84 | 24.54 18.75–30.32 17.25–31.82 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.24 0.08–2.40 0.00–2.70 | 2.83 1.74–3.93 1.45–4.21 | 4.07 1.82–6.32 1.23–6.91 | 14% 16% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.59 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.57 | 5.98 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.