Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.082.60safe0.56–2.490.22–1.930.78–4.43safer0.30–2.740.00–2.160.30–4.90
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.073.438.51safe3.21–6.941.69–5.184.90–12.11safer2.72–7.431.23–5.643.95–13.07
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6810.8125.49safe10.75–18.607.25–14.3718.00–32.97safer9.66–19.696.29–15.3315.95–35.02
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.187.2317.41safe7.24–13.124.55–9.9211.79–23.04safer6.41–13.953.82–10.6510.22–24.60
Blocked shots
63%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.222.817.03safe2.34–6.111.16–4.463.50–10.57safer1.80–6.650.66–4.952.46–11.60
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.654.4410.08safe3.44–7.862.44–6.445.87–14.30safer2.86–8.441.90–6.974.76–15.40
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.0348.27safe45.24–58.8241.49–55.06safer43.57–60.4939.82–56.73
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction439394833safe372–506327–460699–967safer354–525310–478664–1002
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction83.1681.14safe79.13–87.1976.82–85.46safer77.84–88.4875.51–86.77
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4812.3224.81safe9.65–15.329.38–15.2719.03–30.59safer8.89–16.088.63–16.0217.52–32.09
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.423.33safe0.75–3.070.33–2.511.08–5.59safer0.45–3.370.04–2.800.49–6.17
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.753.23safe0.43–2.520.62–2.881.05–5.41safer0.16–2.790.33–3.170.49–5.96
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.656.08safe1.00–3.872.09–5.213.09–9.08safer0.61–4.261.67–5.632.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.56–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.90 | 48% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.07 3.21–6.94 2.72–7.43 | 3.43 1.69–5.18 1.23–5.64 | 8.51 4.90–12.11 3.95–13.07 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.68 10.75–18.60 9.66–19.69 | 10.81 7.25–14.37 6.29–15.33 | 25.49 18.00–32.97 15.95–35.02 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.18 7.24–13.12 6.41–13.95 | 7.23 4.55–9.92 3.82–10.65 | 17.41 11.79–23.04 10.22–24.60 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 63% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.86 2.86–8.44 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.90–6.97 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.03 45.24–58.82 43.57–60.49 | 48.27 41.49–55.06 39.82–56.73 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 354–525 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 833 699–967 664–1002 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.16 79.13–87.19 77.84–88.48 | 81.14 76.82–85.46 75.51–86.77 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 12.48 9.65–15.32 8.89–16.08 | 12.32 9.38–15.27 8.63–16.02 | 24.81 19.03–30.59 17.52–32.09 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.33 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.17 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.65 2.09–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 6.08 3.09–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.