Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.182.95safe0.81–2.740.32–2.031.13–4.78safer0.56–2.990.09–2.260.65–5.26
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.049.61safe3.71–7.432.30–5.786.00–13.21safer3.22–7.921.83–6.255.05–14.17
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1511.6327.78safe12.22–20.078.07–15.2020.30–35.27safer11.13–21.177.11–16.1618.25–37.32
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.927.8718.79safe7.98–13.865.19–10.5513.17–24.41safer7.15–14.694.45–11.2911.60–25.98
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.037.59safe2.68–6.451.37–4.684.06–11.13safer2.14–6.990.88–5.173.02–12.16
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.353.9510.30safe4.13–8.561.95–5.956.09–14.51safer3.56–9.131.42–6.494.98–15.62
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.7740.12safe52.98–66.5633.34–46.91safer51.31–68.2331.67–48.58
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction576384960safe509–643318–451827–1094safer491–662300–468791–1130
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction79.9471.25safe75.91–83.9766.93–75.58safer74.62–85.2665.62–76.88
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9810.1521.13safe8.14–13.827.21–13.1015.35–26.92safer7.39–14.586.46–13.8513.85–28.42
Offsides
51%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.433.42safe0.83–3.150.33–2.521.16–5.67safer0.53–3.450.05–2.810.57–6.26
Yellow cards
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.562.98safe0.36–2.460.43–2.690.80–5.15safer0.10–2.730.14–2.980.24–5.71
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
23%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.766.24safe1.04–3.912.20–5.323.24–9.23safer0.65–4.301.78–5.742.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.74 0.56–2.99 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 51% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.43 3.22–7.92 | 4.04 2.30–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.15 12.22–20.07 11.13–21.17 | 11.63 8.07–15.20 7.11–16.16 | 27.78 20.30–35.27 18.25–37.32 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.92 7.98–13.86 7.15–14.69 | 7.87 5.19–10.55 4.45–11.29 | 18.79 13.17–24.41 11.60–25.98 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.68–6.45 2.14–6.99 | 3.03 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.42–6.49 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 59.77 52.98–66.56 51.31–68.23 | 40.12 33.34–46.91 31.67–48.58 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 576 509–643 491–662 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 960 827–1094 791–1130 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.94 75.91–83.97 74.62–85.26 | 71.25 66.93–75.58 65.62–76.88 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 10.15 7.21–13.10 6.46–13.85 | 21.13 15.35–26.92 13.85–28.42 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 51% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 2.98 0.80–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.76 2.20–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 23% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.