Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.213.22safe1.04–2.980.35–2.061.40–5.04safer0.79–3.230.13–2.290.92–5.52
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.209.83safe3.77–7.492.46–5.946.23–13.44safer3.28–7.981.99–6.415.27–14.39
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9011.7827.68safe11.98–19.838.21–15.3420.19–35.16safer10.89–20.927.25–16.3018.14–37.21
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.096.8016.89safe7.14–13.034.12–9.4811.26–22.51safer6.31–13.863.38–10.229.70–24.08
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.157.11safe2.07–5.831.50–4.813.57–10.64safer1.53–6.381.01–5.302.53–11.68
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.069.52safe3.24–7.672.06–6.065.31–13.73safer2.67–8.241.53–6.604.20–14.84
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0846.05safe47.29–60.8739.27–52.84safer45.62–62.5437.59–54.51
Passes
77%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction507416924safe440–574350–483790–1057safer422–592332–500754–1093
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction87.2084.41safe83.17–91.2380.09–88.74safer81.87–92.5278.78–90.04
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6112.9723.58safe7.77–13.4510.02–15.9117.80–29.36safer7.01–14.209.28–16.6616.29–30.86
Offsides
57%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.293.44safe0.99–3.310.20–2.381.19–5.69safer0.69–3.610.00–2.670.60–6.28
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.933.29safe0.31–2.410.80–3.061.12–5.47safer0.05–2.680.51–3.350.56–6.03
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
28%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.796.58safe1.35–4.222.24–5.353.59–9.57safer0.96–4.611.81–5.772.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.63 3.77–7.49 3.28–7.98 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 9.83 6.23–13.44 5.27–14.39 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.90 11.98–19.83 10.89–20.92 | 11.78 8.21–15.34 7.25–16.30 | 27.68 20.19–35.16 18.14–37.21 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.14–13.03 6.31–13.86 | 6.80 4.12–9.48 3.38–10.22 | 16.89 11.26–22.51 9.70–24.08 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.07–5.83 1.53–6.38 | 3.15 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.68 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.60 | 9.52 5.31–13.73 4.20–14.84 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.08 47.29–60.87 45.62–62.54 | 46.05 39.27–52.84 37.59–54.51 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 507 440–574 422–592 | 416 350–483 332–500 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 77% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.20 83.17–91.23 81.87–92.52 | 84.41 80.09–88.74 78.78–90.04 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.45 7.01–14.20 | 12.97 10.02–15.91 9.28–16.66 | 23.58 17.80–29.36 16.29–30.86 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.44 1.19–5.69 0.60–6.28 | 57% 21% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.29 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.79 2.24–5.35 1.81–5.77 | 6.58 3.59–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 28% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+