Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.180.893.07safe1.21–3.140.04–1.741.24–4.89safer0.96–3.400.00–1.970.76–5.37
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.573.249.81safe4.70–8.431.50–4.986.20–13.41safer4.21–8.921.03–5.455.24–14.37
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.099.0727.15safe14.16–22.015.51–12.6319.67–34.64safer13.07–23.104.55–13.5917.62–36.69
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.545.7918.34safe9.60–15.493.11–8.4812.71–23.96safer8.77–16.312.38–9.2111.15–25.53
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.582.256.83safe2.69–6.460.60–3.913.30–10.37safer2.15–7.000.11–4.402.26–11.40
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.873.7510.62safe4.65–9.081.75–5.756.40–14.83safer4.08–9.651.22–6.285.29–15.94
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction65.1635.56safe58.37–71.9528.78–42.35safer56.70–73.6227.11–44.02
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction613336949safe546–681269–402815–1083safer528–699252–420780–1118
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction88.9978.77safe84.96–93.0274.45–83.10safer83.67–94.3273.14–84.40
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0111.6821.69safe7.17–12.858.74–14.6315.91–27.48safer6.42–13.607.99–15.3814.41–28.98
Offsides
68%
15%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.111.564.68safe1.95–4.280.47–2.662.43–6.93safer1.65–4.580.18–2.951.84–7.52
Yellow cards
23%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.792.89safe0.05–2.150.66–2.920.72–5.07safer0.00–2.420.37–3.210.16–5.63
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.376.56safe0.76–3.632.81–5.933.57–9.56safer0.37–4.022.39–6.352.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.14 0.96–3.40 | 0.89 0.04–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 3.07 1.24–4.89 0.76–5.37 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.70–8.43 4.21–8.92 | 3.24 1.50–4.98 1.03–5.45 | 9.81 6.20–13.41 5.24–14.37 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.09 14.16–22.01 13.07–23.10 | 9.07 5.51–12.63 4.55–13.59 | 27.15 19.67–34.64 17.62–36.69 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.54 9.60–15.49 8.77–16.31 | 5.79 3.11–8.48 2.38–9.21 | 18.34 12.71–23.96 11.15–25.53 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.69–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 2.25 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.87 4.65–9.08 4.08–9.65 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.22–6.28 | 10.62 6.40–14.83 5.29–15.94 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 65.16 58.37–71.95 56.70–73.62 | 35.56 28.78–42.35 27.11–44.02 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 613 546–681 528–699 | 336 269–402 252–420 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.99 84.96–93.02 83.67–94.32 | 78.77 74.45–83.10 73.14–84.40 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.01 7.17–12.85 6.42–13.60 | 11.68 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 21.69 15.91–27.48 14.41–28.98 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 3.11 1.95–4.28 1.65–4.58 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 4.68 2.43–6.93 1.84–7.52 | 68% 15% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.10 0.05–2.15 0.00–2.42 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 2.89 0.72–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 23% 23% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 4.37 2.81–5.93 2.39–6.35 | 6.56 3.57–9.56 2.76–10.37 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.