Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.452.54safe0.12–2.050.59–2.300.71–4.36safer0.00–2.310.37–2.530.23–4.84
Shots on target
32%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.804.628.42safe1.93–5.662.88–6.364.81–12.02safer1.45–6.152.41–6.833.86–12.98
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0713.7125.78safe8.14–15.9910.15–17.2818.29–33.27safer7.05–17.089.19–18.2316.24–35.32
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.118.9316.05safe4.17–10.066.25–11.6110.42–21.67safer3.34–10.895.52–12.358.86–23.24
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.463.977.43safe1.58–5.342.32–5.623.90–10.97safer1.04–5.891.82–6.112.86–12.00
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.595.039.62safe2.38–6.813.03–7.035.41–13.83safer1.81–7.382.49–7.564.30–14.94
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.2355.78safe37.44–51.0249.00–62.57safer35.77–52.6947.32–64.24
Passes
22%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction396486882safe328–463420–553748–1015safer310–481402–570712–1051
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction74.5582.81safe70.52–78.5878.49–87.14safer69.23–79.8777.18–88.45
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2613.1325.40safe9.42–15.1010.19–16.0819.61–31.18safer8.67–15.859.44–16.8318.11–32.68
Offsides
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.803.43safe0.47–2.790.71–2.891.17–5.68safer0.17–3.090.42–3.180.58–6.27
Yellow cards
43%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.954.05safe1.05–3.150.82–3.081.87–6.23safer0.78–3.410.53–3.371.31–6.78
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.052.665.71safe1.61–4.481.11–4.222.72–8.70safer1.22–4.870.68–4.641.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.37–2.53 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 28% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.93–5.66 1.45–6.15 | 4.62 2.88–6.36 2.41–6.83 | 8.42 4.81–12.02 3.86–12.98 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.07 8.14–15.99 7.05–17.08 | 13.71 10.15–17.28 9.19–18.23 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.11 4.17–10.06 3.34–10.89 | 8.93 6.25–11.61 5.52–12.35 | 16.05 10.42–21.67 8.86–23.24 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.34 1.04–5.89 | 3.97 2.32–5.62 1.82–6.11 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.59 2.38–6.81 1.81–7.38 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.49–7.56 | 9.62 5.41–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 44.23 37.44–51.02 35.77–52.69 | 55.78 49.00–62.57 47.32–64.24 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 396 328–463 310–481 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 882 748–1015 712–1051 | 22% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.55 70.52–78.58 69.23–79.87 | 82.81 78.49–87.14 77.18–88.45 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.42–15.10 8.67–15.85 | 13.13 10.19–16.08 9.44–16.83 | 25.40 19.61–31.18 18.11–32.68 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.31–6.78 | 43% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.91–9.52 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.