Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.410.963.37safe1.44–3.380.11–1.821.55–5.19safer1.19–3.630.00–2.051.07–5.67
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.003.5210.51safe5.13–8.861.77–5.266.91–14.12safer4.64–9.351.31–5.725.95–15.07
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.209.7227.91safe14.27–22.126.15–13.2820.43–35.40safer13.18–23.215.20–14.2418.38–37.45
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction13.016.5119.52safe10.07–15.953.83–9.1913.89–25.14safer9.24–16.783.09–9.9312.33–26.71
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.772.727.50safe2.89–6.661.07–4.383.96–11.03safer2.35–7.200.58–4.872.93–12.07
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.479.81safe4.13–8.561.47–5.475.60–14.02safer3.56–9.130.93–6.004.49–15.13
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction61.2940.05safe54.50–68.0833.27–46.84safer52.83–69.7531.59–48.51
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction599389988safe531–666323–456854–1122safer513–684305–473819–1157
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction90.1384.07safe86.10–94.1679.75–88.39safer84.81–95.4578.44–89.70
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3010.4021.70safe8.46–14.147.45–13.3415.92–27.48safer7.71–14.906.70–14.0914.41–28.99
Offsides
45%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.573.46safe0.72–3.050.48–2.671.20–5.71safer0.42–3.350.19–2.950.61–6.30
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.763.34safe0.54–2.630.63–2.891.16–5.52safer0.27–2.900.34–3.180.61–6.08
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.384.266.64safe0.95–3.822.70–5.823.65–9.64safer0.56–4.212.28–6.242.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.44–3.38 1.19–3.63 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.37 1.55–5.19 1.07–5.67 | 69% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.00 5.13–8.86 4.64–9.35 | 3.52 1.77–5.26 1.31–5.72 | 10.51 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.07 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.20 14.27–22.12 13.18–23.21 | 9.72 6.15–13.28 5.20–14.24 | 27.91 20.43–35.40 18.38–37.45 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.01 10.07–15.95 9.24–16.78 | 6.51 3.83–9.19 3.09–9.93 | 19.52 13.89–25.14 12.33–26.71 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.77 2.89–6.66 2.35–7.20 | 2.72 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 7.50 3.96–11.03 2.93–12.07 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.93–6.00 | 9.81 5.60–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 61.29 54.50–68.08 52.83–69.75 | 40.05 33.27–46.84 31.59–48.51 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 599 531–666 513–684 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 988 854–1122 819–1157 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.13 86.10–94.16 84.81–95.45 | 84.07 79.75–88.39 78.44–89.70 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.14 7.71–14.90 | 10.40 7.45–13.34 6.70–14.09 | 21.70 15.92–27.48 14.41–28.99 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.72–3.05 0.42–3.35 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 3.46 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 45% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.54–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 4.26 2.70–5.82 2.28–6.24 | 6.64 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.