Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.413.31safe0.00–1.861.56–3.271.49–5.13safer0.00–2.111.33–3.501.01–5.61
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.116.289.39safe1.25–4.984.53–8.025.78–12.99safer0.76–5.474.07–8.484.83–13.95
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3516.7526.10safe5.42–13.2713.19–20.3118.61–33.59safer4.33–14.3612.23–21.2716.56–35.64
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8811.1016.98safe2.94–8.828.42–13.7811.35–22.60safer2.11–9.657.68–14.529.79–24.17
Blocked shots
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.494.456.94safe0.60–4.372.80–6.103.40–10.47safer0.06–4.912.31–6.602.37–11.51
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.306.249.54safe1.08–5.514.24–8.245.32–13.75safer0.51–6.083.71–8.774.22–14.86
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction41.0359.18safe34.24–47.8252.40–65.97safer32.57–49.4950.73–67.64
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction388531920safe321–456465–598786–1053safer303–474447–615750–1089
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction77.3781.71safe73.34–81.4077.38–86.03safer72.05–82.6976.08–87.34
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4213.6024.02safe7.58–13.2610.65–16.5418.23–29.80safer6.83–14.019.90–17.2916.73–31.30
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.793.23safe0.28–2.600.70–2.880.98–5.49safer0.00–2.900.41–3.170.39–6.08
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.623.33safe0.66–2.760.49–2.751.15–5.51safer0.39–3.020.20–3.040.59–6.07
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.116.34safe2.79–5.670.55–3.663.34–9.33safer2.41–6.050.13–4.092.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 2.41 1.56–3.27 1.33–3.50 | 3.31 1.49–5.13 1.01–5.61 | 17% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.11 1.25–4.98 0.76–5.47 | 6.28 4.53–8.02 4.07–8.48 | 9.39 5.78–12.99 4.83–13.95 | 81% |
| Total shots | 9.35 5.42–13.27 4.33–14.36 | 16.75 13.19–20.31 12.23–21.27 | 26.10 18.61–33.59 16.56–35.64 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.88 2.94–8.82 2.11–9.65 | 11.10 8.42–13.78 7.68–14.52 | 16.98 11.35–22.60 9.79–24.17 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.49 0.60–4.37 0.06–4.91 | 4.45 2.80–6.10 2.31–6.60 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 17% 71% |
| Corners | 3.30 1.08–5.51 0.51–6.08 | 6.24 4.24–8.24 3.71–8.77 | 9.54 5.32–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 79% |
| Possession % | 41.03 34.24–47.82 32.57–49.49 | 59.18 52.40–65.97 50.73–67.64 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 388 321–456 303–474 | 531 465–598 447–615 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.37 73.34–81.40 72.05–82.69 | 81.71 77.38–86.03 76.08–87.34 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.42 7.58–13.26 6.83–14.01 | 13.60 10.65–16.54 9.90–17.29 | 24.02 18.23–29.80 16.73–31.30 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.23 0.98–5.49 0.39–6.08 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.23 2.79–5.67 2.41–6.05 | 2.11 0.55–3.66 0.13–4.09 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 74% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.